Will Congress pass a "tax extenders" package before the end of the year that includes the following:
- Treasury Department grant program for renewable energy 9.4%
- Ethanol subsidies 9.4%
- Both 6.3%
- Neither 75%
Treasury Department grant program for renewable energy
"Despite all the tough talk about reducing spending, it is shaping up to be business as usual with respect to both the extenders and the approps bills."
"The 1603 grants barely made it through last year's cut, and another extension does not appear viable right now. The biofuel blender's credit will get cut again, but not completely."
"The ultimate survival subsidy—they may not last forever, but likely to make the cut this round."
"No way on either of them. In fact, chances of ANY extenders this year, except maybe the payroll-tax cut, are slim to none."
"I can't imagine ethanol subsidies dropping out just before an election year—too risky for both parties, even though it's absolutely the right thing to do. And I'm going to be optimistic and say that 1603 will make it through by the skin of its teeth again this year, because it's got such strong industry backing."
"Dysfunction reigns! Nothing will get done."
"The age of big spending on marginal sources is over for now."
"What used to be easy in past Congresses is no longer easy, and the odds of an extender package are well below 50 percent."
"There is no momentum for ethanol subsidies whatsoever. Other energy extenders will likely be extended and retroactively extended sometime next year."
National Journal’s Energy and Environment Insiders Poll is a periodic survey of energy policy experts. They include:
Jeff Anderson, Paul Bailey, Kenneth Berlin, Andrew J. Black, Denise Bode, Kevin Book, Pat Bousliman, David Brown, Neil Brown, Stephen Brown, Kateri Callahan, McKie Campbell, Guy Caruso, Paul Cicio, Douglas Clapp, Eileen Claussen, Steve Cochran, Phyllis Cuttino, Kyle Danish, Lee Dehihns, Robbie Diamond, David Di Martino, Bob Dinneen, Sean Donahue, Jeff Duncan, John Felmy, Mike Ference, David Foster, Josh Freed, Don Furman, Paul Gilman, Richard Glick, Kate Gordon, Chuck Gray, Jason Grumet, Christopher Guith, Lewis Hay, Jeff Holmstead, David Holt, Skip Horvath, Bob Irvin, Bill Johnson, Gene Karpinski, Joseph T. Kelliher, Brian Kennedy, Kevin Knobloch, David Kreutzer, Fred Krupp, Tom Kuhn, Con Lass, Mindy Lubber, Frank Maisano, Drew Maloney, Roger Martella, John McArther, Mike McKenna, Bill McKibben, David Miller, Kristina Moore, Richard Myers, Aric Newhouse, Frank O'Donnell, Mike Olson, T. Boone Pickens, Thomas Pyle, Hal Quinn, Rhone Resch, Barry Russell, Joseph Schultz, Bob Simon, Scott Sklar, Bill Snape, Jeff Sterba, Christine Tezak, Susan Tierney, Andrew Wheeler, Brian Wolff, Franz Wuerfmannsdobler, and Todd Young.