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NJ Daily

Convention Insiders Poll

August 27, 2012

How much does your party’s chance of winning the presidential election hinge on having a successful convention?

Republicans (176 VOTES)

Very important    15%
Somewhat important    51%
Not very important    31%
Not at all important    3%

 

 

Very important:

“This frames the next 10 weeks. We need to do this well.”

Somewhat important:

“The convention can sharpen the focus for Romney-Ryan, but it’s only a kick-starter. Few swing voters tune into the convention.”
 

“Gov. Romney needs to work on liability factor; this could be a good start.”
Somewhat important: “A good convention can’t win an election, but a poor one can lose it.”

“Romney needs to build an image tarnished by the Obama blitz.”

“The nominee’s speech sets a tone and matters a lot; nothing else matters even a little bit.”
 

Not very important:

“It will be forgotten by the second week of September.”

“Just one opportunity of many. When we didn’t have social media, it was much more important—and when we didn’t have 500 cable channels.”

“This election is about jobs and the economy.”

“Conventions are two weeks of predictable news two months before undecided voters make up their minds.”

Democrats (135 votes)


Very important    4%
Somewhat important    38%
Not very important    52%
Not at all important    7%
 

Very important:

“If Romney can close the likability gap and explain that he understands the middle class during his speech, then Charlotte becomes even more important.”

Somewhat important:

“People see conventions for what they’ve become: staged, glitzy television productions with little substance. Don’t expect much of a bounce. Keep expectations low. Get out of convention week without any media storms and move on to the rest of September and October.”

“It’s more about not making mistakes.”

Not very important:

“Conventions are relics. Debates will be much more important than one more Obama speech.”

“What happens in Tampa and Charlotte will be long forgotten by the time November arrives.”
 

Not at all important:

“With only one hour of prime-time coverage and a truncated schedule, conventions are becoming obsolete for voters.”


Democratic Convention Insiders: Jill Alper, Nick Ammann, John Anzalone, Scott Arceneaux, Ryan Banfill, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, James Blanchard, Rick Boylan, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Chip Burpee, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, David Castagnetti, Mitch Ceasar, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coehlo, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daley, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Tom Daschle, Howard Dean, Scott Defife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Michael Dino, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Mitch Emerson, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Damien Filer, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Rhonda Foxx, Vincent Frillici, Dan Gelber, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, Alma Gonzalez, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Brian Griffin, Pat Griffin, Michael Gronstal, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Megan Hannigan, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Alexander P. Heckler, Jay Heimbach, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery, Danny Homan, Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, Steve Jarding, Eric Johnson, Jonathan Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Susan Kennedy, Erik Komendant, Lisa Kountoupes, Dawn Laguens, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Chris Lopez, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Beth Matuga, Susan McCue, Gerry McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, Moses Mercado, Andrew Mertens, J. Todd Metcalf, Michael Monroe, Alison Morano, Erick Mullen, Steve Murphy, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Donnell, John Ost, Jeffrey Peck, Joe Perry, LeeAnn Petersen, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Ben Pollara, Jefrey Pollock, Tim Punke, Jack Quinn, Robert Raben, Oscar Ramirez, Larry Rasky, Beth Rawlins, Mame Reiley, Steve Ricchetti, Robin Rorapaugh, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ron Sachs, Michael Sargeant, Lee Saunders, Steven Schale, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Dane Strother, Scott Surovell, Katrina Swett, Dusky Terry, David Thomas, Allen Thompson, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Jody Trapasso, Ed Turlington, Christian Ulvert, Steve Vancore, Kirk Wagar, Ashley Walker, George E. Wallace, Screven Watson, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolfe, John Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby

GOP Convention Insiders: Kevin Abbott, Chad Airhart, Tim Albrecht, Ray Allen, Peter Angerhofer, Charlie Arlinghaus, Brian Ballard, Slater Bayliss, Brad Blais, John Boehner, Grant Bosse, Michael Bousselot, Sally Bradshaw, Kevin Brady, Jamie Burnett, Jeb Bush Jr., Bertica Cabrera, James Centers, Amelia Chasse, Alan Cobb, Tom Cole, Len Collins, Paul Collins, Bradford E. Cook, Lynne Cottrell, Peter Cownie, Renee Dabbs, Mikel Derby, Jose Diaz, Nelson Diaz, Janel Domenico, Brett Doster, Charlie Dudley, Brian Dumas, John Dunagan, Ed Dupont, Tom Feeney, Brenna Findley, Jay Flanders, Ken Flechler, Jim Foley, Christian Fong, Jose Fuentes, Dave Funk, Randall Gerard, Tim Griffin, Adam Goodman, Adam Gregg, Sandy Greiner, Steve Grubbs, Chris Hagenow, Matt Hagerty, Jesse Harris, Erin Hass, Rich Heffley, Erik Helland, Hanz C. Heinrichs, Darrell Henry, Ann Herberger, Mark Hillman, Matt Hinch, Doug Hoelscher, Jennifer Horn, Tim Huelskamp, Mark Hudson, Caleb Hunter, Patrick Hynes, Todd Inman, David Jamison, Eric Johansen, Christina Johnson, David Johnson, Periklis Karoutas, Matthew Keelen, Martin Kent, Jake Ketzner, Rich Killion, Gary Kirke, Walt Klein, Matt Knoedler, Gary Lambert, Ladonna Y. Lee, Frederick Leonhardt, Corey Lewandowski, Carlos M. Lopez-Cantera, Jim MacEachern, Kerry Marsh, Alberto E. Martinez, Don McDowell, Shannon McGinley, Christopher McGowan, Will McKinley, Frank McNulty, Kathy Mears, Dan Meyer, Betsy Miller, Paul Mitchell, Ana Navarro, Steve Northrup, Roy Palmer, Ed J. Pozzuoli, Christopher Rants, Marc Reichelderfer, Todd Reid, Dave Rexrode Jim Rimes, Craig Robinson, Monica Rodriguez, Richard Rogers, Marc A. Ross, Sarah Rumpf, Nick Ryan, John Ryder, Renee Schulte, Pete Silva, Suzan Stewart, Ted Stopulos, Cameron Sutton, John Tate, Jo Thoburn, Cory Tilley, Joe Wall, Ed Wallace, Peter Week, Susan Wiles, Shari Williams, Eric Woolson, Will Wrobleski, Brian Yablonski, Grant Young

 

Democratic Political Insiders: Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Steve McMahon, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O’Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jefrey Pollock, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.

 

GOP Political Insiders: Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O’Neill, Connie Partoyan, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud.

This article appears in the August 28, 2012 edition of NJ Convention Daily.

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