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INSIDERS POLL

Praise For Palin Selection

by James A. Barnes and Peter Bell

Sunday, Aug. 31, 2008


Q. How much do you think Gov. Sarah Palin will help or hurt John McCain?

80 votes
Helps a lot           59 percent
Helps a little        18 percent
Hurts a little         6 percent
Hurts a lot           10 percent
No impact              5 percent
Not sure (volunteered) 3 percent

Helps a lot

"Stopped cold the Obama juggernaut. Conservatives, especially young ones, are suddenly fired up."

Bloggers PollNational Journal has invited top bloggers to join in its survey of insiders for the Democratic and Republican conventions.

"Every white male independent with a gun or a hockey stick will like her."

"We dominated the news Friday, which was an accomplishment after Thursday night. We made our convention much more interesting. She will pose problems for the Democrats that they were not expecting."

"Palin is already helping with fundraising. Dispirited Republicans -- even some who despise McCain, like me -- are opening up their wallets."

"Unites and energizes the base; aggravates Obama's problem with women voters and Hillary supporters; adds a solid outsider to a campaign with three U.S. senators at a time when approval ratings for Congress are in single digits."

"Republicans can now return to their anti-government-spending DNA."

"The choice of Gov. Palin will give disaffected Hillary Clinton voters a place to go."

"Big-time score on this one: clearly shows outside-of-the-box thinking, which is the only way GOP wins this year."

"A risky, but shrewd, pick that could give McCain a real good second look by disaffected Clinton supporters. The way they cut off the buzz of Obama's speech was brilliant."

"Forget about female Clinton supporters. Palin's a guy's gal who helps with the lunch-bucket crowd."

"Let's face it, McCain is an unconventional candidate. That's what people like about him. She's got some growing to do, some polishing -- no doubt about it. But she's up to the challenge. And Democrats will see that soon enough."

Helps a little

"It will help a little in that it will bring energy and freshness to a campaign that looked and sounded pretty stale."

"Time will tell: Ask me again after the debate with Joe Biden."

"She is the one candidate the base can get excited about who doesn't necessarily define McCain as lurching back to the right when he clearly has to make a big play for swing voters. Because she's a woman and because she's a reformer, she uniquely motivates the base and has the potential to broaden that appeal."

"This pick might narrow the gender gap a bit for independent women who wonder why Obama ignored Hillary's 18 million votes."

"The danger with surprise picks is surprise backgrounds. All good today."

Hurts a little

"Palin complicates the 'readiness' argument against Obama. She is untested and unknown. Did he forget that he is 72 and there are lingering concerns about his age?"

"Any upside from her reformer profile, youth, gender, and hockey-mom appeal is trumped by her inexperience, anonymity, and almost certain inability to stand toe-to-toe with Biden."

Hurts a lot

"It seems too clever a choice by half -- almost inexplicable. Will most people believe she would be ready to take over? This smells of people spending too much time in a small room talking themselves into something."

"McCain is on his own: No fundraising lift, no swing-state lift, no public-policy lift; and a very high risk of gaffes."

"The choice defies logic. Choosing Palin takes away the 'experience' and the 'is-he-ready-to-be-president' argument that McCain could have effectively used against Obama."

"A 'ticket to nowhere.' "

No impact

"The VP pick does not have an impact."

We also asked prominent bloggers to answer this question.

GOP Political Insiders: Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Wayne Berman, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Danny Carroll, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Charlie Crist, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Rick Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Steve Duprey, Debi Durham, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Sam Geduldig, Benjamin Ginsberg, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bruce Keough, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris Lacivita, Jim Lake, Chuck Larson, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Bill McInturff, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Ed Rogers, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Don Sipple, Robin Smith, Javier Soto, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Eric Tanenblatt, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Tom Wilson, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, and Fred Wszolek.

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Blogs and News

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Tech Daily Dose

NEWS SUMMARIES

Earlybird

A daily roundup of top stories on Congress, the White House and the world, plus the morning's top editorials and op-eds.


Wake-Up Call

The Hotline's morning news briefing on politicians and the press.


Hotline 11:40

The daily comprehensive chronicle of politics, polling, and campaign developments in the nation's top races.


Last Call

The Hotline's afternoon news briefing on politicians and the press.


Blogometer

A daily report from The Hotline taking the temperature of the political blogosphere


Convention Guide

'Maverick' Nominee, But Still Same GOP: Even though John McCain clinched the presidential nomination without winning a plurality of conservatives or self-identified Republicans in key states, most party leaders doubt that fundamental change is afoot.


No Simple Answer On Military Force: Throughout John McCain's career, the former Navy pilot has been difficult to pigeonhole on the crucial question of when to deploy U.S. forces.


The Economics of John McCain: Organizing much of his campaign around gas prices has forced McCain into a series of indefensible economic positions.

Convention Resources

PHONE NUMBERS


Republican National Convention Committee, Minneapolis-St. Paul: 651-467-2008

RNC Chairman Mike Duncan: 202-863-8700

Jo Ann Davidson, Convention Chairman, Committee on Arrangements: 651-467-2008

RNC Co-Chairman Jo Ann Davidson: 202-863-8545

Minneapolis-St. Paul Host Committee: 651-677-2008

McCain Campaign: 703-418-2008


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