Rising gas prices and the contraception controversy are reminders that you should beware of projecting that the status quo will hold going forward, particularly with Election Day more than eight months away.

How much will Mitt Romney have to tack to the right? In a prolonged GOP presidential campaign, he might have to move so far to the right to appease his base that he can’t get back to the center in time to win over independents.

President Obama’s reelection prospects aren’t looking as dim as they did a few months ago.

The House looks headed for a makeover, but one that could be more generational than partisan. Five factors point toward an election that brings a lot of new faces to Washington. 

With congressional approval ratings in the basement, how many incumbents could lose their seats? 

If the unemployment rate this fall is 9 percent, President Obama probably loses reelection. If it’s 8 percent, he probably wins. Guess what economists are predicting?

Gingrich could be the wild card of the GOP race. He can’t win, but he has a major score to settle with Mitt Romney.

The jobless rate is virtually the same as it was a year before Ronald Reagan was reelected in a landslide.

Gingrich still hasn’t mastered campaign fundamentals. And the fundamentals still matter.

Gingrich looks to be the last anti-Romney standing. Can he take advantage of his moment in the sun?