Rep. Mike Rogers will not run for an open Senate seat next year, he will announce later today. Michigan Republican pollster Steve Mitchell confirmed in an email that Rogers will take a pass.
The decision is not unexpected. Observers thought Rogers would keep his post atop the House Intelligence Committee, and in recent days the National Republican Senatorial Committee has sounded more supportive of former Michigan Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land.
A source familiar with NRSC thinking said the committee "has no expectation that [Rogers] will run" and has not met with him recently. The operative cited polling that showed Land running closest to Rep. Gary Peters, Democrats' presumptive nominee. "The NRSC also believes that forcing Democrats – who've made a point of campaigning on women's issues – to publicly attack a well-liked, well known, strong woman like Terri Lynn Land (which the DSCC has already aggressively done) will hurt their political strategy," the operative said in an email.
With Rogers out, Land is settling into frontrunner position. Rep. Justin Amash remains the wild card. He's promised to fight any "anti-civil liberties, pro-corporate welfare Senate candidate," but some see that as a veiled shot at Rogers. Amash and Land hail from the same district and seem to have a friendly relationship.