A new poll released Tuesday shows a tight gubernatorial race in Michigan, and shows Democratic Rep. Gary Peters with the early edge in the Senate race.
The EPIC-MRA poll tests GOP Gov. Rick Snyder against former Democratic Rep. Mark Schauer, who has indicated he's leaning toward a bid. The two are tied with 39 percent support foreach candidate -- nearly identical to results from last month EPIC-MRA's poll last month, and a dangerous number for an incumbent, far below the 50-percent threshold. Schauer has cleared the Democratic field (with the possible exception of state Rep. Vicki Barnett, who has not ruled out a bid despite widespread support for Schauer).
Snyder's favorability is at 45 percent, while 44 percent have an unfavorable view of him. But his numbers are much worse when it comes to job approval: just 39 percent give him a positive rating, and 58 percent rate him negatively (though among the "negative" ratings, 30 percent rated the governor's performance as fair). The poll tested the favorability of Schauer, and unsurprisingly the former congressman's name recognition is low, with 61 percent indicating they didn't recognize him.
Peters has cleared the Democratic field for retiring Democratic Sen. Carl Levin's seat. The poll shows him beating GOP Rep. Mike Rogers -- who has not yet said he's running and is reportedly being considered for FBI director as well -- 37 percent to 30 percent in a potential matchup. Not tested in the survey is GOP Rep. Justin Amash, who's more conservative than Rogers and also hasn't ruled out the run for higher office.
President Obama has a 53 percent favorability rating in the state, and 43 percent see him unfavorably. The poll of 600 active and likely voters was conducted May 11 through May 15 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percent.
CORRECTION: A previous version of this post incorrectly stated the Schauer-Snyder matchup as a 39-38 Schauer lead. Those results were from last month's survey.