New Poll Shows Dead Heat in Wisconsin Senate Race

By Kevin Brennan  //  November 1, 2012 | 8:17 a.m.

The Wisconsin Senate race is neck-and-neck, according to a NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll released Thursday.

Democratic Rep. Tammy Baldwin outpaces former Gov. Tommy Thompson 48 percent to 47 percent. The lead is within the poll's margin of error. In the previous poll, conducted in mid-October, Baldwin led Thompson 49 percent to 45 percent.

Thompson entered the general election campaign considered the favorite, thanks to a track record of appealing to moderate Democrats and independents in his four gubernatorial wins. But Baldwin has maintained a slight edge in most recent public polls. A Marquette University Law School poll released Wednesday showed Baldwin leading Thompson 47 percent to 43 percent.

President Obama leads Mitt Romney 49 percent to 46 percent in the new poll. In mid-October, Obama led 51 percent to 45 percent.

In the Senate contest, independents favor Thompson over Baldwin, 48 percent to 44 percent. But the former governor fails only wins the support of 4 percent of Democrats, and Baldwin wins an identical percentage of Republicans. The NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll, conducted October 28 through 29, surveyed 1,065 likely voters, for a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3 percentage points.

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