Polls Diverge in Va. Senate Race

By Julie Sobel  //  October 11, 2012 | 3:00 a.m.

Two new polls released early Thursday present a murky view of the Virginia Senate race: While one survey shows Democratic nominee Tim Kaine leading Republican George Allen by 7 points, the other shows a neck-and-neck race.

Kaine leads Allen 51 percent to 44 percent in a new Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News poll. Their previous poll, conducted in mid-September, showed the same results.

Meanwhile, a new NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll has the race much closer, with Kaine at 47 percent and Allen at 46 percent. Their previous poll, conducted in late Sept. and early Oct., had Kaine leading Allen 49 percent to 44 percent.

The Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News poll also showed President Obama holding a nearly identical lead over Mitt Romney as Kaine has over Allen: 51 to 46. The NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll also has the presidential race much closer, with Romney leading Obama, 48 percent to 47 percent. Most recent polls have showed Kaine with a slight lead in the contest. The NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll was conducted Oct. 7-9 as well, and surveyed 981 likely voters. The margin of error is plus-or-minus 3.1 percentage points. The Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News poll was conducted Oct. 4-9 as well, and surveyed 1,288 likely voters. The margin of error is plus-or-minus 2.7 percentage points.

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