Poll: Warren Holds Apparent Lead Over Brown
Elizabeth Warren hits the 50-percent mark and leads Sen. Scott Brown, R-Mass., by 6 points in a new poll released Wednesday morning.
Warren leads Brown, 50 percent to 44 percent, in the poll, conducted by the MassINC Polling Group for Boston's NPR affiliate, WBUR-FM. Seven percent remain undecided in one of the nation's most-watched Senate contests, two weeks from Election Day.
Their previous poll, conducted in early October, showed Brown edging Warren, 48 percent to 45 percent. Since then, the candidates met for their third debate and each has been attacking the other over the airwaves.
Their favorables and unfavorables in Wednesday's poll are nearly identical, a change from the previous poll, which had Brown in a better position than Warren by this metric. The new poll shows both candidates at 49 percent favorability and Brown's unfavorables at 38 percent, Warren's at 39 percent.
There is a substantial gender gap. Brown has a slight edge among male voters, 48 percent to Warren's 46 percent. But Warren gets 54 percent support among women voters to Brown's 40 percent. A recent Warren ad noted that Brown could tip the balance to a GOP-controlled Senate, which could confirm a Supreme Court Justice who would vote to overturn Roe v. Wade.
President Obama has a significant lead over Mitt Romney, the state's former governor, in the White House race: 56 percent support the president, while just 36 percent support Romney. Those are tough numbers for Brown to overcome.
Brown and Warren will face off for a final debate on October 30.
The WBUR-FM poll surveyed 516 likely voters and was conducted October 21-22. The margin of error is plus-or-minus 4.3 percentage points.
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