Warren has never held elective office before, but is beloved by progressives around the nation due to her advocacy for the Consumer Financial Protection Board (and if not for the agreement she and Sen. Scott Brown struck to keep outside outside TV advertising out of the race, she would certainly be seeing massive amounts of outside money being spent against her, too). Warren has made protecting the middle class a central theme of her campaign, and she and Brown have been competing for blue-collar voters in the tight contest. Recent polls have showed the Democrat pulling ahead.
Baldwin is another progressive star, and many have wondered if the Madison congresswoman was too liberal to win the Senate contest. But after polls showed her initially lagging behind former Gov. Tommy Thompson after he won the August GOP primary, recent surveys show her up by varying margins.
"In Ohio, despite the nearly $20 million in advertising against him, Sen. Brown looks to be in pretty good shape," said Podhorzer. "Baldwin and Warren are a little bit ahead, and if we can put the blue-collar vote up a little bit more, I think both of those races come home. And the Democrats have to pick up a couple more and they retain control."