Hotline Sort: Tale of Two House Races

Welcome back to Hotline Sort. Check out The Hotline's latest Senate Race rankings, Brown and Warren spar in their second debate, new Crossroads and Majority PAC ads out today, and Allen West's challenger raises $1.1 million in the third quarter.

12) Freshman Democratic Rep. David Cicilline leads Republican challenger Brendan Doherty in WPRI-TV's latest poll of Rhode Island's 1st Congressional District. Cicilline leads Doherty 44 percent to 38 percent, with 10 percent of voters undecided and the remaining 6 percent opting for independent David Vogel.

11) Another (independent) poll in Utah's 4th District, and this one shows Saratoga Springs Mayor Mia Love leading Democratic Rep. Jim Matheson. The new Deseret News/KSL poll has Love up 49 percent to 43 percent, with 8 percent of voters undecided.

10) Rep. Allen West's, R-Fla., Democratic challenger Patrick Murphy announced raising $1.1 million during the third quarter. The campaign said that Murphy has about $400,000 on hand.

9) The Republican Governors Association's 527 arm raised almost $15 million during the third quarter, the Washington Post reports. They did not disclose their cash on hand.

8) Virginia Democratic Senate nominee Tim Kaine's campaign announced purchasing an additional $3 million in advertising, bringing their total buy to $7.5 million through Election Day.

7) Independent Maine Senate candidate Angus King on Monday released seven years of federal tax returns, a week after Democratic nominee Cynthia Dill called on him and GOP candidate Charlie Summers to release 10 years of tax returns.

King and his wife took in an average of $569,000 each year, according to the Bangor Daily News.

6) Majority PAC, AFSCME and Center Forward announced a $1 million ad campaign targeting GOP Senate nominee Richard Mourdock in Indiana. "Richard Mourdock worked against us," says the ad's narrator. The spot hits him on trying "to stop the Chrysler rescue that saved $100,000 Indiana jobs."

5) Two new ads in the tight Wisconsin Senate race today: Majority PAC launched a new ad hitting former GOP Gov. Tommy Thompson, twice playing a clip of him saying "Who better than me... do away with Medicaid and Medicare." Meanwhile, Democratic Rep. Tammy Baldwin is also releasing a new commercial this morning, going after Thompson for lobbying and saying he wants to give millionaires a tax cut while raising taxes on the middle class. 4) Sen. Scott Brown, R-Mass., and Elizabeth Warren faced off in their second debate last night. The Boston Globe's Glen Johnson writes that the debate "featured a lot of friction but not much new illumination, lacking a game-changing moment even if it was marked by two stumbles that ­illustrate lingering challenges for each candidate." Check out our debate wrap here. 3) American Crossroads and Crossroads GPS are going up today with a $16 million one-week buy on television and radio in eight presidential battleground states and four Senate races (North Dakota, Virginia, Montana, and Florida), Politico reports. 2) Robert Draper's New York Times Magazine piece on Mitt Romney is out. Here's a tidbit, from a meeting John McCain held during the 2008 financial crisis before deciding to suspend his campaign:

Romney had been an informal adviser, fund-raiser and campaign surrogate for McCain since dropping out of the G.O.P. race seven months earlier. Well before the meltdown of the markets that summer, the former Massachusetts governor and Bain Capital C.E.O. had emphasized his vast experience in the private sector. As he told one campaign audience in Sarasota, Fla., in January 2008: "I will not need briefings on how the economy works. I know how it works. I've been there." That day in the Hilton conference room, however, Romney did not distinguish himself as McCain struggled to decide what course he should recommend in Washington. Holtz-Eakin recalls "nothing specifically" that Romney had to offer. The other McCain senior staff member is more emphatic: "The reality is he didn't take command. He wasn't a Marshall-type figure who conveyed an understanding of both business and politics. But the truth is, no one else had any clue what to do, either." Then he added, "There wasn't a single person in the room, including Romney, who had any specific policy recommendation."

1) Check out The Hotline's latest Senate Race Rankings, which show Democratic candidates in better shape than anytime this year.

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