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Casey Leads by 10 in Inquirer Poll Casey Leads by 10 in Inquirer Poll

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Politics

Casey Leads by 10 in Inquirer Poll

October 12, 2012

One thing is clear: The Pennsylvania Senate race has tightened. Much less clear: Just how close Republican challenger Tom Smith has gotten to Bob Casey.

A Philadelphia Inquirer poll released Friday shows Casey holding onto a 10-point lead. It comes on the heels of a Smith internal poll yesterday that showed a dead heat in the contest.

The Inquirer poll has Casey with 48 percent of the vote to Smith's 38 percent. There's no disputing that it's a more narrow race than it was this summer. An August Inquirer poll put his lead at 53 percent to 34 percent, and Casey was generally considered safe.

Smith, a self-funding first-time candidate, has significantly outspent Casey in television advertising. And over the past several weeks, independent, non-automated polls have showed Casey's lead at anywhere from 5 points to 12 points.

The survey was conducted Oct. 4-8, and surveyed 600 likely voters. It has a margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points.

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