Polls: Democratic Candidates Tied in Western Senate Races
Three new live-caller polls out of Arizona, Montana and North Dakota show Democrats running neck-and-neck in Senate contests in states likely to be carried by the Republican presidential nominee, Mitt Romney.
In Arizona, a poll from Portland, Ore.-based Republican pollster Moore Information shows former Surgeon General Richard Carmona within the margin of error against GOP Rep. Jeff Flake, trailing the Republican, 43 percent to 40 percent. Four percent of likely voters support Libertarian candidate Marc Victor, 1 percent choose "none," and 11 percent are undecided. The poll, which also shows Romney only marginally leading the presidential race in the state, surveyed 500 likely voters from Sept. 25-26 and carries a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4.4 percentage points.
A new Democratic poll shows Sen. Jon Tester, D-Mont., with a statistically-insignificant, 2-point lead over Republican Rep. Denny Rehberg, 44 percent to 42 percent. The poll, conducted by Global Strategy Group for the League of Conservation Voters, also shows Libertarian Dan Cox at 7 percent. The Montana poll was conducted Sept. 23-25, surveying 606 likely voters, and has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4 percentage points.
The North Dakota Democratic-Nonpartisan League Party also released a poll Friday, showing Democrat Heidi Heitkamp with a slim lead over Republican Rep. Rick Berg in that state's open-seat Senate race. Eight percent of likely voters are undecided. The poll was conducted Sept. 24-27 by Stone Research Services of Indianapolis. Six hundred likely voters were surveyed, for a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4 percentage points.