Mason-Dixon Poll: Rehberg, Tester Run Close
The Montana Senate race is neck-and-neck, with Republican Rep. Denny Rehberg leading Democratic incumbent Jon Tester by a statistically-insignificant margin in a new poll released Sunday.
The poll, conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research for a consortium of Treasure State newspapers, shows Rehberg leading Tester, 48 percent to 45 percent, within the poll's margin of error of plus-or-minus 4 percentage points. One percent of likely voters preferred the libertarian candidate, Dan Cox, and 6 percent are undecided.
Though both candidates win more than 90 percent of their own partisans, Rehberg's slender advantage overall is boosted by a 9-point edge among self-identified independents, 47 percent to 38 percent.
The poll also shows a gender gap: Rehberg leads among men, 53 percent to 39 percent, and Tester leads among female voters, 50 percent to 43 percent.