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Independent Spending Favors Republicans

The figures only reflect money that has actually been spent on advertising and paid voter contact so far this month. It does not include money the two sides have spent to reserve airtime over the next seven weeks. The Congressional Leadership Fund and the American Action Network, for example, have together reserved more than $7 million in advertisements set to run before Election Day, but that amount hasn't actually been spent, so it doesn't show up in the data yet. But the early spending hints at a big Republican advantage to come. The NRCC ended the month of July with about a $12 million cash-on-hand advantage over the DCCC (though the DCCC bought plenty of television time earlier in the year), and outside Republican groups are planning to spend the bulk of their cash in October. The list of districts in which the NRCC has spent money so far: AZ 01 (Open), CA 24 (Dem, Rep. Lois Capps), CA 26 (Open), CA 52 (GOP, Rep. Brian Bilbray), GA 12 (Dem, Rep. John Barrow), IA 01 (Dem, Rep. Bruce Braley), IA 02 (Dem, Rep. Dave Loebsack), IA 03 (Reps. Leonard Boswell and Tom Latham), IA 04 (GOP, Rep. Steve King), IL 12 (Open), IL 13 (Open), IL 17 (GOP, Rep. Bobby Schilling), KY 06 (Dem, Rep. Ben Chandler), MI 01 (GOP, Rep. Dan Benishek), MN 08 (GOP, Rep. Chip Cravaack), NC 07 (Dem, Rep. Mike McIntyre), NC 08 (Dem, Rep. Larry Kissell), NV 03 (GOP, Rep. Joe Heck), NV 04 (Open), NY 18 (GOP, Rep. Nan Hayworth), NY 19 (GOP, Rep. Chris Gibson), NY 21 (Dem, Rep. Bill Owens), NY 24 (GOP, Rep. Ann Marie Buerkle), OH 06 (GOP, Rep. Bill Johnson), PA 12 (Dem, Rep. Mark Critz), TX 23 (GOP, Rep. Quico Canseco), UT 04 (Dem, Rep. Jim Matheson), WI 07 (GOP, Rep. Sean Duffy), WI 08 (GOP, Rep. Reid Ribble), WV 03 (Dem, Rep. Nick Rahall). The list of districts in which the DCCC has spent money since Sept. 1: AZ 01 (Open), CA 10 (GOP, Rep. Jeff Denham), CA 52 (GOP, Rep. Brian Bilbray), CT 05 (Open), GA 12 (Dem, Rep. John Barrow), IL 12 (Open), IL 13 (Open), IL 17 (GOP, Rep. Bobby Schilling), MI 01 (GOP, Rep. Dan Benishek), MN 08 (GOP, Rep. Chip Cravaack), NC 07 (Dem, Rep. Mike McIntyre), NV 03 (GOP, Rep. Joe Heck), NY 19 (GOP., Rep. Chris Gibson), NY 24 (GOP, Rep. Ann Marie Buerkle), OH 06 (GOP, Rep. Bill Johnson), OH 16 (Reps. Jim Renacci and Betty Sutton), PA 12 (Dem, Rep. Mark Critz), TX 23 (GOP, Rep. Quico Canseco), WI 07 (GOP, Rep. Sean Duffy).

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