Hotline Sort: Poll-ar Opposites

By Julie Sobel  //  September 17, 2012 | 8:24 a.m.

Welcome back to Hotline Sort. Polls everywhere, Manchin releases his first television ad, Cuomo helps the DCCC, and Christine O'Donnell thinks she owes her supporters another Senate run.

10) Christine O'Donnell, who lost badly as the GOP's nominee in the 2010 Delaware Senate race, says she is considering a a 2014 bid because she owes it to her supporters.

9) The New York Daily News reports that Gov. Andrew Cuomo agreed to help the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee out with Empire State races. Ask New York Dems how they feel about Cuomo's role in redistricting and you'll get quite the earful.

8) A Western New England University poll shows Democrat Elizabeth Warren leading Sen. Scott Brown, R-Mass., by six points. That's a better result for Warren than other recent surveys, but it doesn't track with either side's internal numbers. Stay tuned tonight for the results of a Suffolk University poll in the contest.

7) And a new Elway Poll shows Washington state's fiercely competitive gubernatorial race tightening -- Democratic Rep. Jay Inslee holds just a slight lead over Attorney General Rob McKenna, 44 percent to 41 percent. Meanwhile, Bill Clinton appeared at an Inslee fundraiser, which the Seattle Post-Intelligencer reports "likely" raised more than $700,000. (The story also notes that "Clinton took after Romney, displaying the killer instincts of a mongoose.")

6) Connecticut's Manchester Journal-Inquirer reported this weekend that WWE has ordered Youtube to "remove sexually explicit excerpts of its programming that could embarrass" the company's former CEO (and the current GOP Senate nominee), Linda McMahon. In response, the Connecticut Democratic party is releasing a video with some of those explicit excerpts, set to the sound of McMahon talking about the quality of the programming. 5) Sen. Joe Manchin, D-W.V., is releasing his first television ad of the campaign today, a positive spot in which he says he believes in "an America where opportunity should be plentiful. And we must put our country before our politics." Though President Obama is unpopular in West Virginia, Manchin remains popular and is well-positioned in his reelection bid. 4) Democrat Tim Kaine released his second Spanish-language ad in the Virgina Senate race. 3) Here's another outlier poll: Rep. Tammy Baldwin's pollster has her up five points over GOP opponent Tommy Thompson. Again, the other internals we've seen tell a very different story. 2) Another internal poll conducted for Rep. Joe Donnelly's Indiana Senate campaign shows the Democrat in a tight race with GOP Treasurer Richard Mourdock. The poll shows Donnelly with 45 percent support to Mourdock's 42 percent support, with 14 percent of voters undecided. Both the Democratic and Republican Senate committees are buying time in Indiana, which bolsters our impression that this survey isn't as much of an outlier. 1) A Politico story on "How Mitt Romney Stumbled," features internal campaign griping -- particularly about senior strategist Stuart Stevens. And from the New York Times:

With time dwindling for him to gain an edge in the presidential race and with an outbreak of finger-pointing signaling trouble in his campaign, Mitt Romney plans to begin an offensive this week, his aides said, seeking to give voters a clearer picture of where he wants to take the country. Amid a clamor of calls from prominent Republicans for Mr. Romney to offer a major policy address to answer voters' continued questions about his plans, his aides said he would present a series of speeches, television commercials and events promoting his five-point economic policy, even as he concentrates on his next big chance to change the race: the debates.


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Reid Wilson, Editor-in-Chief
Steve Shepard, Executive Editor
Julie Sobel, Editor
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