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Politics

Dueling New Mexico Senate Internals

September 28, 2012

Both Democratic Rep. Martin Heinrich and former GOP Rep. Heather Wilson released internal polls Friday in the New Mexico Senate battle -- and the two surveys showed differing results.

Heinrich released a poll this morning, conducted by GBA Strategies, that shows him beating Wilson, 52 percent to 44 percent, in a head-to-head matchup. The campaign also polled a three-way matchup with Independent American Party candidate Jon Barrie, finding Heinrich with an 8-point lead over Wilson, 48 percent to 40 percent, with Barrie pulling in 9 percent.

And this afternoon, Wilson released a poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies, saying the "Wilson comeback continues" (the previous poll they released touting her "comeback" showed her down 5). This poll only shows the results of the three-way matchup, and has the race in a dead heat: Heinrich at 43 percent and Wilson at 42 percent, with Barrie taking the same 9 percent as he does in Heinrich's poll.

Most recent polls have shown Heinrich with a lead in the Land of Enchantment, where President Obama is expected to defeat Mitt Romney. The National Republican Senatorial Committee pulled their advertising from New Mexico.

The Wilson poll was conducted Sept. 25-27, surveying 500 likely voters, and has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4.4 percentage points. The Heinrich poll was conducted Sept. 24-26, surveying 600 likely voters, and has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4 percentage points.

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