Hotline Sort: The Welfare Wars

Welcome back to Hotline Sort. It's primary day in Missouri, Michigan, Kansas and Washington state, Tester and Heitkamp are up with new ads, new GOP convention speakers are revealed, and Cheney clarifies his Palin comments.

11) Clarification? After Dick Cheney said Sen. John McCain made a mistake when he picked Sarah Palin as his running mate, he revised his remarks in a Fox interview. Cheney: "It wasn't aimed so much at Gov. Palin as it was against the basic process that McCain used."

10) Getting nasty in Arizona's member-vs.-member primary pitting GOP Reps. David Schweikert and Ben Quayle: A new Schweikert ad says Quayle has "embarrassed us too many times."

9) Maine GOP Senate nominee Charlie Summers went on the attack against independent nominee Angus King, hitting King for saying he's against negative ads. King ran an ad that compared his opponent to a mummy while running for governor... in 1994. Summers posted a web ad on the subject, which his campaign says may run on television later.

8) North Dakota Senate nominee Heidi Heitkamp launched a new television ad featuring her talking about improving access to health care for veterans.

7) Wil Cardon, the Arizona Senate candidate who has spent millions of his own money in a GOP primary against Rep. Jeff Flake, appears to be going off the air now, just weeks before the August 28 primary.

Cardon's campaign denied to the Arizona Republic that they were winding down.

6) Sen. Jon Tester is launching a new $90,000 ad buy today. The ad, which will run statewide on broadcast and cable, highlights his independence from Democrats, and concludes, "Jon Tester. Doing what's right for Montana. Always."

That's been the running theme for Tester this cycle, running for re-election in a Republican-leaning state where Obama's numbers are well underwater.

5) Crossroads GPS is launching a $7.2 million ad blitz Wednesday in five key Senate races: Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, Nevada, and Virginia. 4) Two tough new ads in the presidential race: Mitt Romney and the RNC are up with a commercial saying President Obama "quietly announced a plan to gut welfare reform by dropping work requirements." The Romney campaign believes Obama is vulnerable on the welfare issue -- Newt Gingrich famously called him the "food stamp president" during the campaign -- so expect to hear this line of attack more on the campaign trail. Priorities USA has a new brutal ad featuring a former employee at GST Steel, who talks about losing his job and health benefits -- and his wife's illness -- after Bain Capital closed the steel plant. 3) The New York Times highlights single women as potential swing voters this year. The Times:

In an election focused on the economy, single women present a complicated case. They already earn less than married people and single men, and they have not fared well during the Obama administration. They have had a harder time than married women paying rent, getting medical care and finding jobs. While the jobless rate for married women has stayed relatively low, at 5.6 percent compared with 2.6 percent before the recession, the rate for unmarried women has risen to 11 percent, from a prerecession level of 6 percent. Still, polling and focus groups show that single women are reluctant to blame Mr. Obama for their economic woes and tend to approve of a greater role for government in crises. Their reliance on programs like welfare, food stamps and Medicaid has grown significantly since 2007. In 2010, 55 percent of their households got some form of assistance, not counting school lunches, compared with 18 percent of married women's households.

2) Four more Republicans were announced Tuesday as GOP National Convention speakers: former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul and Oklahoma Gov. Mary Fallin. 1) Voters go to the polls in Missouri, Michigan, Washington State, and Kansas Tuesday. Check out our previews of the Missouri GOP Senate primary here, Michigan GOP Senate primary here, and Michigan/Missouri House primaries here. And stay tuned to Hotline on Call for full results tonight.

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