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Democratic Poll Shows Freshman Cravaack in Close Race Democratic Poll Shows Freshman Cravaack in Close Race Democratic Poll Shows Freshman Cravaack in Close Race Democratic Poll Shows Fre...

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Politics

Democratic Poll Shows Freshman Cravaack in Close Race

August 31, 2012

Updated at 7:00 a.m.

Less than 10 weeks out from Election Day, a coalition of outside groups including House Majority PAC has released another poll showing a Republican incumbent in a statistical dead heat with his Democratic challenger. A survey conducted earlier this week for the Democratic-aligned super PAC, along with SEIU, AFSCME, and Friends of Democracy, found Rep. Chip Cravaack, R-Minn., at only 44 percent in a general election matchup against Democratic ex-Rep. Rick Nolan, who received 47 percent of the vote.

The poll in Minnesota's 8th District was conducted by Washington-based GBA Strategies from Aug. 26-27 and surveyed 400 likely voters. The poll's margin of error is plus-or-minus 4.9 percentage points.

Nolan, who served in Congress in the late '70s and early '80s, has not fundraised well and, especially after a bruising Democratic primary, he has a cash gap to make up on Cravaack. But outside groups including House Majority PAC and the Minnesota Democrat-Farmer-Labor Party -- which came to his aid in the primary -- will help make up some of that space.

Democrats consider the 8th District one of their prime pickup opportunities in the country. Democrat Jim Oberstar represented the area for 36 years before Cravaack unseated him in 2010, and President Obama carried 53 percent of the district's vote in 2008.

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