The look ahead to 2016 is far more interesting than this year's races, according to the poll. President Obama is virtually guaranteed of capturing the state's 29 electoral votes in the fall, leading Mitt Romney in the poll, 55 percent to 32 percent. And Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand looks like a lock for reelection, leading the GOP nominee, Wendy Long, 57 percent to 24 percent. The Quinnipiac poll was conducted July 17-23, surveying 1,779 registered voters. The margin of sampling error is plus-or-minus 2.3 percentage points.