Mason-Dixon Poll: Nelson 47, Mack 42
Sen. Bill Nelson, D-Fla., holds a slight lead over Republican Rep. Connie Mack, 47 percent to 42 percent, according to a new Mason-Dixon poll released Friday.
Nelson's overall advantage is built upon an 11-point lead among independents, 50 percent to 39 percent. Each candidate wins more than 80 percent of their own partisans.
Men tilt to Mack, 48 percent to 41 percent, while Nelson wins female voters, 52 percent to 37 percent. Half of white voters favor Mack, while Nelson wins 41 percent of the white vote. Black voters overwhelmingly support Nelson, 86 percent to 4 percent for Mack. Hispanics are split evenly between the two candidates.
Despite Nelson's incumbency and Mack's family history, both candidates aren't particularly popular, the poll shows. Just 36 percent of likely voters have a favorable opinion of Nelson, compared to 28 percent who view him unfavorably, and 24 percent who say they have a neutral opinion of him. Twelve percent say they don't recognize him.
Mack's favorability is more positive, but still weak; a majority of likely voters either don't recognize him or have a neutral opinion. Thirty percent view him favorably, against 13 percent who have an unfavorable opinion.
Nelson has a huge fundraising advantage over Mack. He more than doubled the Republican's second quarter haul ($1.8 million to $840,000), and the Democrat finished June with $11 million dollars in the bank compared to $1.4 million for Mack.