4) Two new polls paint slightly different pictures of the race to control Congress next year. A new Quinnipiac University poll released early Wednesday shows Democrats ahead by a nose on the generic ballot, 43 percent to 40 percent. But a new Reuters/Ipsos poll out late Tuesday gave the GOP a nominal, 4-point edge. 3) There will be a special election in Michigan for Rep. Thad McCotter's seat. It will take place on September 5 and cost $650,000. 2) Spending by outside groups in the Ohio Senate race against Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown has topped $10 million. It's a major factor that has allowed Republican nominee Josh Mandel close in the polls. Speaking of outside spending, American Crossroads and its sister organization are prepared to spend $70 million on Senate races, Roll Call reports. 1) Jon Ralston reports that Nevada Republican Sen. Dean Heller is up with a new ad hitting Democratic Rep. Shelley Berkley's ethics woes. It's a tough spot and there will certainly be many more like it from Heller and outside groups supporting his candidacy. Ralston's piece is well worth a read. The odds are stacked against Berkley, but it may be too early too completely write her off. -- Steven Shepard contributed
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