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Hotline Sort: Convention Contention

5) Several swing state Democrats and Republicans in competitive election battles are opting to skip the Democratic and Republican conventions, but Sen. Debbie Stabenow's, D-Mich., spokesperson says she will be in Charlotte. Michigan is a state Mitt Romney is expected to contest, but Stabenow holds a healthy lead over Rep. Pete Hoekstra in public polling (including a NBC/Marist survey out today). 4) Another Democrat from a Midwestern swing state, facing a competitive Senate race, is going to the Democratic National Convention: Sen. Sherrod Brown, D-Ohio. 3) The Senate campaign of Rep. Tammy Baldwin is touting IVR polling of the GOP race showing Eric Hovde running neck-and-neck with Tommy Thompson. A recent Marquette poll (non-IVR) showed that Thompson was the strongest general election candidate against Baldwin. 2) A new round of NBC News/Marist polls shows Obama and Romney just about neck-and-neck in three important swing states; Michigan (Obama 47, Romney 43), North Carolina (Obama 46, Romney 44), and New Hampshire (tied at 45 percent). It's just one round of polling, but its encouraging for the Republican's chances of expanding the map in states the Democrat carried in 2008. 1) The dominant story of the day is the expected ruling by the Supreme Court in the federal health care law. Margot Sanger-Katz sets the table and writes that gripes are guaranteed regardless of where the court comes down. Stay tuned to NationalJournal.com for complete analysis of the decision today. -- Scott Bland and Julie Sobel contributed

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