Walker Keeps Slight Lead in New Marquette Poll
Wisconsin Republican Gov. Scott Walker has retained a slight lead over his Democratic rival in next week's recall election, according to a new Marquette Law School poll released on Wednesday.
Walker's lead over Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett is 7 percentage points, 52 percent to 45 percent. That is virtually unchanged from earlier this month, when Walker led Barrett, 50 percent to 44 percent.
Marquette Law School visiting professor Charles Franklin, who directs the poll, noted that most of the interviews with voters were conducted prior to last Friday's debate; the poll was conducted May 23-26. Franklin also said that Walker's advantage is just barely inside the poll's margin of error of plus-or-minus 4.0 percentage points. But, Franklin said, there is an equal chance that Walker's lead over Barrett is nearly 15 percentage points as there is that Barrett actually leads the race.
Over the past few weeks, Democrats have released a handful of polls showing the race slightly closer, with Barrett running neck-and-neck with Walker. The previous Marquette Law School poll was conducted May 9-12, and Democrats said that the most recent partisan polls reflected the uptick in television advertising from Barrett and his allies.
But, according to the new Marquette Law School poll, the Democratic attacks have failed to move the needle. In addition to the static ballot test, Walker's current approval rating among all registered voters (51 percent) is statistically unchanged from earlier this month (50 percent). And the percentage of Wisconsin voters who have a favorable opinion of Walker (51 percent) is virtually identical to the previous poll (50 percent).