Republicans lack a declared or obvious candidate, leading to the push for Kelly to get into the race. Kelly has never said he is interested in running, but he also has not unequivocally ruled it out. Without any indication from Kelly, the city's GOP county chairmen have focused their attention
on John Catsimatidis
, the wealthy owner of a chain of Manhattan supermarkets. Catsimatidis has said he will consider running if Kelly opts against a bid. New York City voters overwhelmingly support Kelly's work as commissioner, with 88 percent of Republicans and 60 percent of Democrats approving of his job performance in the poll.
Despite a huge advantage in party registration, Democrats have not won a mayoral election since David Dinkins
left office in 1993. In addition to reversing the party's string of hard luck, a Quinn victory would make history on two fronts: She would be the city's first female and first openly gay chief executive.
Quinn's primary lead in the poll is fueled by her support among white voters, 32 percent of whom support her candidacy, compared to 10 percent for de Blasio, the next highest finisher. Thompson leads Quinn 24 percent to 19 percent among black voters.
In a nod to Kelly's popularity, Quinn said this week the next mayor should keep him on
The Quinnipiac poll, which was conducted May 3 through May 8, surveyed 1,066 New York City registered voters and contained a subsample of 685 Democrats. The poll carries a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percent.