Polling shows [pdf] white evangelical Christians and those who attend church most often are most likely to say gambling is morally wrong. Those are voters who have serious sway in places like Iowa and South Carolina. If Christie runs, expect his primary opponents to bring up his expansion of New Jersey's gambling laws as a strike against him. As one smart South Carolina Republican put it: "Fighting the Obama administration is one thing; fighting it so your state can expand gambling is a different animal when you want to run for president, at some point in the future, in the SCGOP presidential primary." What plays in Newark might not be as popular in Newton, Iowa, or North Charleston, South Carolina.