Hotline Sort: Carolina Blues
Welcome back to Hotline Sort. A new study on Mexican immigration patterns could impact domestic politics, Dewhurst doubles down on hitting Cruz with a China attack, Sarah Steelman has trouble commenting on the Violence Against Women Act, and Pennsylvania polls close at 8 p.m. ET tonight, with a lot to watch in the Senate and House primaries. Here's today's rundown:
10) Newt Gingrich hints that his campaign may soon be winding down.
9) Late Monday, we wrote about a new NY1-Marist poll showing New York City Council Speaker Christine Quinn well-positioned to win the Big Apple's 2013 Democratic mayoral primary. But the "wood" of Tuesday's New York Daily News implores Police Commissioner Ray Kelly to throw his hat in the ring, citing a poll showing a plurality of Gotham voters want Kelly to enter the race as a Republican. The poll, conducted for the News by Doug Schoen, shows Quinn leading Kelly in a general election matchup, however, 49 percent to 36 percent.
8) Remember the days of Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., and South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley being mentioned as possible vice presidential nominees? Rubio's name is still at the top of most short lists, and he is boosting is profile by delivering a major foreign policy speech on Wednesday.
Haley's fortunes appear to be headed in the opposite direction. She was once considered a rising star in the Republican Party after her election in 2010, but a new Winthrop University poll released early Tuesday shows that Palmetto State voters are still split on her job performance. Just 38 percent of voters approve of the job that Haley is doing as governor, compared to 39 percent who disapprove. Among Republican voters, Haley's approval rating is just 60 percent. Haley -- who was nominated two years ago in a divisive GOP primary -- failed to deliver South Carolina in January for Mitt Romney, whom she endorsed.
7) The Senate campaign of Rep. Martin Heinrich, D-N.M., is launching his first TV ad. Heinrich is better-funded and more well-known that state Auditor Hector Balderas, his Democratic primary opponent. The primary (June 5) isn't all that far away, so Heinrich's decision to go up on TV makes sense. See the ad here.
6) If Sarah Steelman ends up as the Republican nominee against Sen. Claire McCaskill, D-Mo., expect Democrats to hammer this time and again: Steelman said she didn't have a position on the Violence Against Women Act and was "not sure" what the law was about.
5) Developments in North Carolina, a state President Obama is aggressively contesting, have been giving Democrats heartburn in recent months. From the governor's race to the sexual harassment accusations leveled at the state party's former executive director, it hasn't been smooth sailing in the state hosting the party;s national convention and believed to be a major piece of the reelection puzzle. Obama will be in the state today and to give you an idea of the distance national Democrats are keeping, Politico reports that state Democrats says Obama for America, refused to share its phone lists or detailed data on local voters with the state Democratic establishment.