4) It's clear that Texas Lt. Governor David Dewhurst
's internal numbers suggest that there is an upside to continuing to bash former state Solicitor General Ted Cruz
over China. Dewhurst is up with a new radio ad
that follows up on a TV ad
from a week ago that hit Cruz for representing a Chinese company appealing a verdict ordering it to pay an American man who charged that his tire blueprints were stolen.
3) Democrats start the general election campaign with slight advantages in this year's federal elections, according to a new United Technologies/National Journal Congressional Connection poll
published in Tuesday's editions of National Journal Daily
. By an eight-point margin, 47 percent to 39 percent, voters would rather see President Obama
defeat Mitt Romney
and win another term. Fifty percent of voters would rather see Democrats keep control of the Senate, compared to 39 percent who want to see Republicans take over. The race for control of the House is closer, with 46 percent of voters preferring a Democratic takeover, versus 43 percent who want the GOP to keep control.
Be sure to check out Wednesday's National Journal Daily
, where our colleagues dig down into the poll and explore each party's base of support -- and which voters on whom the election is likely to pivot.
2) Obama continues to lead Romney in the race for New Hampshire's four electoral votes, while Arizona appears to be in play, according to two new state-level polls released late on Monday. A new WMUR-TV Granite State Poll
shows Obama leading Romney in New Hampshire, 51 percent to 42 percent, roughly equal to his 10-point lead in February. Meanwhile, Romney holds a scant, two-point lead over Obama in Arizona, which has gone Republican in all but one presidential election since 1952, according to a new poll from the Arizona State University Morrison Institute of Public Policy
. Bill Clinton
, in 1996, is the only Democrat to win the Grand Canyon State since Harry Truman
1) Democrats have been relying on a long-term growth trend among Hispanic voters for years. But a new Pew Hispanic Center report shows immigration from Mexico slowed to a trickle in the second half of the last decade. That means Obama's team will have to work to make Hispanics a larger share of the electorate. They may not be able to count on population trends alone.
Josh Kraushaar has more on the report, and the implications
for both parties.
-- Kevin Brennan contributed