Fitzgerald Internal From February Shows Slimmer Buchanan Lead
Democrat Keith Fitzgerald's campaign has released an internal poll from February that shows Rep. Vern Buchanan, R-Fla., to be more vulnerable in their estimation than a Buchanan poll released Tuesday showed. Fitzgerald's poll shows Buchanan leading, 49 percent to 38 percent, but under a majority.
The poll, conducted by SEA Polling, surveyed 400 likely voters in Florida's 16th Congressional District from February 12 to February 18. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percent.
Fitzgerald's poll, and an earlier one conducted for his campaign, show the Democrat hovering in the mid- to high-30s, the same as in Buchanan's internal poll from March. But Fitzgerald's surveys show Buchanan under 50 percent, while Buchanan's poll has the incumbent in safer territory, at 58 percent.
Both polls suggest Fitzgerald has a solid foundation of support around 35 to 38 percent of the electorate, meaning that he starts already better off than Buchanan's last opponent, who got only 31 percent support in the 2010 election.