Those numbers may look daunting for Democrats, but it's much more difficult to tie non-federal candidates to a president or Washington. It's easier if the candidate is a current or former member of Congress. In just one of the above states is there a frontrunning candidate who is a current member of Congress, and that's in Indiana, where it is the Republican, Mike Pence, who has a federal voting record. In Montana, former Rep. Rick Hill has a good shot his party's nomination, but he is also running on the Republican side. 2011's off-year races are a useful reminder. In the two places where Democrats won -- Earl Ray Tomblin in West Virginia and Steve Beshear in Kentucky -- Obama is is virtually certain to lose this year. While Obama remains a polarizing figure and has struggled in polling in several states that will serve as true gubernatorial battlegrounds this year, it's still not apparent that Democrats who are tied to him will feel a major impact.
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