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Politics

Hotline Sort: Veepstakes Central

February 1, 2012
3) Florida wasn't the only state holding an election on Tuesday. Democrat Suzanne Bonamici will, as expected, be the next representative of Oregon's 1st District, winning over Republican Rob Cornilles with 55 percent of the vote with 95 percent of precincts counted. Cornilles began his election night speech on a somewhat defensive note, saying "perhaps the biggest disappointment is that those who opposed me found it necessary to try and undo all the good that small businesses like mine accomplish in our state." 2) Romney's win in Florida on Tuesday gives his campaign a major boost of momentum. But he will have to work harder than past frontrunners, explains Beth Reinhard:

Just run the numbers. Romney's win in Florida brings him to 83 delegates, just over 7 percent of the total needed to claim the nomination. While previous nomination battles were decided more by math than momentum, the new GOP rules and the impact of super PACs bankrolled by a candidate's allies can keep a race going, even when the outcome seems predictable.

Romney defeated Newt Gingrich by 14 points in Florida. 1) Next up: Nevada's caucuses on Saturday, where Romney is already hitting Gingrich with mail and looks is very well-suited for a second straight win. The Wall Street Journal:

Mitt Romney and Texas Rep. Ron Paul were the top two finishers in Nevada in the party's 2008 presidential primary, and both have maintained their ties to the state and their campaign organizations. That makes Nevada ill-suited to providing rival candidates Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum with the shot of political adrenaline they will need after Florida's vote. Nevada's caucus format also gives an edge to candidates with superior organizations, such as Messrs. Romney and Paul. And the state has a large number of voters who share Mr. Romney's Mormon faith.

The month of February looks favorable for Romney: In addition to Nevada, Arizona, Michigan and Colorado -- states the ex-governor is expected to do well in, are also holding contests. And debates -- which have by and large been where Gingrich has shined -- will be in short supply, with just one slated on Feb. 22.
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