Q Poll: Mack, Nelson Neck-and-Neck in Florida
Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson and Republican Rep. Connie Mack remain locked in a neck-and-neck race in Florida's Senate race, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll released early on Wednesday.
Nelson leads Mack by a single point, 41 percent to 40 percent, well within the poll's margin of error of +/- 2.6 percent. Nineteen percent of voters said they were undecided, preferred another candidate or would not vote.
That is virtually unchanged from late October and early November, shortly after it was reported that Mack had reversed course and intended to challenge Nelson, when the incumbent led Mack by just two points.
Nelson wins 77 percent of Democrats in the latest poll, while Mack holds 82 percent of Republicans. Independent voters tilt to Nelson, 44 percent to 33 percent.
(The poll surveyed slightly more Republicans (32 percent of the total sample) than Democrats (29 percent). In the 2010 midterm elections, the percentages of Republicans (36 percent) and Democrats (36 percent) were equal, according to exit polls. Exit polls from the 2008 election show Democrats with a three-point edge in party identification over Republicans.)
Mack is miles ahead of the rest of the GOP field in the primary, though he remains under the critical 50-percent threshold. Thirty-nine percent of registered Republicans say they would vote for Mack in the primary, while no other candidate break double-digits: Former Sen. George LeMieux and retired Army Col. Mike McCalister, each with 6 percent, lead the GOP also-rans.