6) Former congressional candidate Tim Burns is staying in the race, despite a poor showing in the state GOP vote. And while Welch has received a big boost from his first place showing, there is still second-place finisher Tom Smith (who also has a Democratic past) and his $5 million to contend with in the primary. The early read: Advantage Welch. But the race is far from decided and the endorsement could mean a backlash -- some tea party organizers have already expressed unhappiness with the process. Former state Rep. Sam Rohrer, a more conservative candidate who stood against the party's decision to endorse will press on in the race, further complicating matters. 5) Former Rep. Ed Case's first ad in the Hawaii Senate race was a strictly positive spot. His second ad makes mention of frontrunning Democratic Rep. Mazie Hirono. "Choosing between Mazie and Ed, that's an issue. The next Senator that gets in is gonna be in there a long time," says a man in Case's ad. The underdog Case's willingness to step up to an ad that mentions his opponent this early in the race suggests the it might not be long before he runs an ad that goes directly after Hirono. 4) Some very good news: Rick Santorum says his youngest daughter Bella has made a "miraculous turnaround" after being hospitalized for pneumonia over the weekend. 3) Newt Gingrich has lost ground to Mitt Romney in the polls in the lead-up to Tuesday's Florida primary, but he's not easing up with his rhetoric against the former governor. The Washington Post: 2) Mitt Romney's campaign, even with the election 24 hours away, is already boasting about its successful strategy against Gingrich in Florida. Romney adviser David Kochel described the strategy to the New York Times as "let's go rush the quarterback." Romney responded to his advisers' braggadocio on NBC's "Today Show" this morning: "You can expect advisers to think that the work of advisers is very, very important." 1) Two new Florida polls out Sunday show that Romney holds a commanding lead over Newt Gingrich in Tuesday's Florida primary. Romney leads Gingrich 42 percent to 27 percent in a new Marist poll of the Florida GOP primary and 42 percent to 31 percent in a Mason-Dixon poll of conducted for five Sunshine State news outlets. Both polls also tested general election matchups against Obama, with divergent results. They showed Obama comfortably leading Gingrich, but the Mason-Dixon survey showed Romney with a four-point lead over Obama, 48 to 44 percent. The Marist poll, however, showed Obama with an eight-point advantage over Romney.
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