If the primary election was held today, it looks like Tammy Duckworth would cruise to the Democratic nomination in Illinois's 8th District. Since it's actually in less than two months, she probably will anyway.
Duckworth, a former Veterans Affairs assistant secretary, holds a massive 42-point lead -- 59 percent to 17 percent -- over former Illinois deputy treasurer Raja Krishnamoorthi, according to a Normington Petts poll conducted for her campaign. The poll surveyed 400 likely Democratic primary voters from Jan. 10 to Jan. 12, with a margin of error is 4.9 percent.
The Illinois primary is scheduled for Mar. 20. From the polling memo:
Krishnamoorthi probably will be able to communicate his message in the closing months of the primary campaign, as the memo notes. Though Duckworth outraised him in the fourth quarter, Krishnamoorthi has fundraised well, bringing in over $1 million for the year, and had nearly twice Duckworth's cash on hand at the end of the third quarter. (Fourth quarter cash on hand figures are not available yet.) But as David Axelrod says in the polling memo, "I have never seen anyone overcome a 42-point deficit this late in the race."