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Politics

Hotline Sort: Hello, Heineman

December 5, 2011
4) Does the best-organized campaign really win Iowa? Former Republican strategist Matt Dowd (in National Journal) and former McCain strategist Steve Schmidt (in the New York Times) pour cold water on that conventional wisdom. Schmidt said that there is a "quadrennial industry" of paycheck-seeking Iowa operatives who profit from "the myth that organization wins Iowa." And Dowd writes that "this myth is not only pushed by many in the media, but by many Republican consultants who specialize in organization and field operations related to Iowa. Let's pause for a moment and see about the truth of this." Dowd argues that it applies much more to the Democratic caucus process in Iowa, but much less to the GOP caucuses, which have different rules. This is certainly music to Gingrich's ears, given he's been well behind organizationally - compared to his rivals. 3) The results of the latest Selzer & Co. poll conducted for the Des Moines Register were released on Saturday. Newt Gingrich leads the pack in the survey with 25 percent. Paul was second with 18 percent while Mitt Romney was third at 16 percent. 2) The latest NBC News/Marist poll shows something similar in Iowa, with Gingrich at 26 percent and Romney at 18 percent. In New Hampshire, Romney is still the clear frontrunner with 39 percent, but Gingrich is now running a solid second with 23 percent. 1) The Gingrich campaign appears to be looking to take advantage of its newfound success in Iowa, and is up with its first TV spot in the Hawkeye State, a $250,000 statewide buy, in which the former House Speaker says, "working together, we can and will improve the America we love." And yes, that is the "Rudy" theme music that's playing in the background of the 60-second ad. As the New York Times notes, Gingrich still has to overcome some hurdles, despite his impressive polling. One is a fundraising apparatus, which the campaign is addressing. Today Gingrich plans to be in New York City to court donors.
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