From Bolger's post:
For quite some time, Republican pollsters have been making the point to their clients: don't confuse the attitudes of base and swing voters toward the President. Base GOP voters do not like Obama's policies, and they dislike him personally (some more vehemently than others). However, we had consistently seen in our polls and focus groups that while swing voters are increasingly unhappy with his policies and his politics, they still liked Obama personally. Lately, I have been making the case (and others may have as well) that we're nearing a tipping point for the President's personal standing. If his job approval ratings were weak, eventually swing voters would no longer view him as the shining star he believes himself to be.an oversample of Republican voters found Texas Gov. Rick Perry leading former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney in the race for the GOP nomination, 23 percent to 16 percent. Rep. Michele Bachmann, R-Minn., and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich tied for a distant third, at seven percent. The CBS News/New York Times poll was conducted Sept. 10-15, surveying 1,452 adults. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percent. There was an oversample totaling 781 Republicans, with a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percent.