Despite the steep drop in Obama's approval rating, he remains likely to carry California, the Electoral College's biggest prize. While the percentage of voters who say they are not inclined to reelect him has risen since June, more voters still say they are inclined to support his reelection, by a margin of 49 percent to 44 percent. California has voted for the Democrat for president in each election since 1992.
One possible reason why Obama's reelection percentage slightly outperforms his approval rating is that the president remains personally popular in the Golden State. Fifty-five percent of voters have a favorable opinion of Obama, while 41 percent have an unfavorable opinion of him.
The Field Poll was conducted Sept. 1-12, surveying 1,001 registered voters. Each question released Wednesday, however, was asked of random, split subsamples. The margins of error were +/- 4.4 percent or +/- 4.6 percent, depending on which sample was asked the question. The margins of error were higher for subgroups.