Live Analysis: GOP Presidential Debate

Throughout the evening, National Journal's editors will use this space to offer real-time analysis of the Republican presidential debate co-sponsored by CNN and the Tea Party Express. Eight candidates are squaring off in Tampa, Fla., site of the 2012 Republican National Convention.

10:04 Sean Sullivan: Romney was on point tonight, with sharpened attacks against Perry. Bachmann found a way to insert herself into the debate by also attacking Perry. Sensing a pattern here? Perry had to play a lot of defense tonight, but didn't always shine. He'll need to hone his skills pushing back against criticism on the HPV vaccine mandate and immigration, among other things. Welcome to the view from the top, where you can see everyone climbing up after you.

9:38 Sean Sullivan: Huntsman had a chance to engage with Perry on a serious issue: immigration. He blows it with an out-of-nowhere "treasonous" comment. Huntsman is supposed to be convincing voters why he deserves to be at the same table as Romney and Perry. But he just demonstrated why he's not there.

9:34 Kathy Kiely: The American way is to have people come into this country with a little bit of money in their pockets, says Bachmann on immigration. So much for Lady Liberty's "huddled masses yearning to breathe free." This kind of line may work for tonight's audience, but in November?

9:27 Ron Brownstein: It was telling that Romney remained silent in the dust up over Perry's HPV vaccine executive order; because of his own Massachusetts mandate on health care he lacks standing to attack perry over his mandate. Romney was the obvious beneficiary of the attacks on Perry from Bachmann and Santorum who have the conservative credentials to press that case. Yet Bachmann's later denunciation of Romney's insurance mandate shows that he can never breathe easy when the debate circles around these questions.

9:26 Tim Alberta: After taking a drubbing over the HPV vaccine mandate, Perry looked downright relieved to see Romney put on the defensive over his Massachusetts health care plan. But Romney dismissed the issue with relative ease, proving that after many months on the trail, practice makes perfect. Perry, like most politicians, appears much more comfortable playing offense than defense -- but he must become an effective two-way player to win the nomination. As the old sports adage goes, "offense wins games, but defense wins championships."

9:15 Sean Sullivan: An hour in, and Bachmann finally checks in, blasting Perry over the HPV vaccine mandate order. She clearly came prepared ready to engage him on the issue. Perry's response - you think I can be bought off for $5K? - is less than satisfactory. Romney's not involved in this exchange, and may be the big winner of the whole bit.

9:06 Ron Brownstein: As in his first debate, Rick Perry has been strongest when he's been able to tee up ringing affirmations of conservative principles -- like a tennis player who delivers a booming shot when he can run around to his forehand. But also as in his first debate, Perry has seemed less steady elsewhere on the court. His answer on Social Security opened up more questions rather than closing off the issue, as his USA Today op-ed attempted to do. And his overstatement on the Obama stimulus -- arguing that it did not create a single job -- showed his tendency toward unequivocal declarations that inspire the GOP base but may ultimately strike some swing voters as excessive or simplistic-sort of like a forehand that sails past the baseline.

9:03 Kathy Kiely: Only in front of a Tea Party audience would a question about whether the chairman of the Federal Reserve is committing treason be a test of (wo)manhood. Michele Bachmann flubbed it by not being willing to stand for or against Perry's controversial line. Perry looked stronger than he has most of the night by refusing to back down. 9:02 Sean Sullivan: Bachmann passed on a clear chance to directly take on Perry over his controversial Bernanke comments. When you are at 4 percent in the polls and fading, you don't have the luxury of passing up many of those chances. 8:57 Tim Alberta: After a strong showing in the last debate, Huntsman has taken a step back tonight. His lecturing tone comes across as condescending, and his multiple attempts at caustic humor -- targeting Romney and Perry -- have fallen completely flat. He spoke at length last week about Reagan's optimism and sunny demeanor; he would do well to channel the Gipper for the remainder of this debate. 8:42 Reid Wilson: The stimulus created zero jobs? Even the most anti-stimulus Republicans don't agree with that. Rick Perry just gave Republican elites in D.C. another reason to worry about his electability, and he looked like he realized what he was doing halfway through his answer. Perry has a reputation for stretching the facts. 8:39 Kathy Kiely: There he goes again. Huntsman cites "what I did as governor" and the recommendation of the Wall Street Journal as a recommendation for a Tea Party audience? Not sure those are props that are going to impress this anti-politician, anti-establishment crowd. 8:36 Tim Alberta: It's early, but this Tea Party audience is already affording a noticeable home field advantage (of sorts) for Perry, and also for Ron Paul, Michele Bachmann and Herman Cain. Paul's answers have been repeatedly interrupted with cheers, while Perry has earned sustained applause for criticizing Romney. The Texas governor, who appeared tentative at times during last week's debate, will have plenty of crowd support should he choose to continue his offensive against Romney tonight. 8:30 Ron Fournier: Perry says it's time to have a serious conversation about how to reform Social Security. Just not any time soon, apparently. He twice dodged Romney's simple question: Do you still believe the retirement system is unconstitutional and should be returned to the states? Those are positions Perry staked out in his book. Perry stuck to talking points, saying politicians need to show courage and propose how they would reform Social Security. But he did not. "We ought to have a conversation ...," Perry said before being cut off by Romney. "We're having a conversation now, governor," Romney said. "We're running for president." 8:23 Kathy Kiely Huntsman's too cool for his own good: How many Tea Partiers in the audience know or care who Kurt Cobain is? 8:22 Josh Kraushaar: The debate's in Florida, but it's also being sponsored by the Tea Party Express. One wonders if it's the best venue for Romney to aggressively attack Perry on entitlements. 8:18 Josh Kraushaar: Much crisper Social Security answer from Perry the second time around. If he was more prepared to deal with it at the first debate, he'd have been in better shape.

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Reid Wilson, Editor-in-Chief
Steve Shepard, Executive Editor
Julie Sobel, Editor
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