Insiders Divided Over Job Creation Proposals
If President Obama hopes to achieve bipartisan consensus around job creation next week, he'd better deliver a heck of a speech. This week's National Journal Political Insiders Poll reveals deep divides and little common ground among Republican and Democratic operatives about the job creation policies their respective parties should support.
|Which, if any, of these job-creation proposals should your party support?|
|Extending the payroll tax holiday||69%||41%|
|Providing tax credits for firms hiring new workers||79%||39%|
|Investing in infrastructure projects||89%||19%|
|Reducing regulations on businesses||36%||92%|
|Lowering the top corporate tax rate to 25 percent||22%||85%|
|None of the above||0%||3%|
Democratic Insiders overwhelmingly chose investment in infrastructure, such as roads, airports, and school construction, as a key job-creation policy their party should endorse. One Democratic Insider said, "Of these proposals, only one creates jobs directly. Investing in infrastructure does that, and it provides long-term benefits to the country." Another added, "Infrastructure, particularly schools, has an immediate and visible impact."
Even while supporting such policies, some Democratic Insiders acknowledged the difficulty of passing additional spending measures in the current political climate. "Infrastructure investment is by far the strongest elixir but the hardest to get through Congress today," said one. A second lamented, "[This is] another reminder that Dems should have done much more real stimulus when we had the chance."
Indeed, infrastructure investment was the least supported choice of Republican Insiders, who strongly preferred a focus on reducing regulation for businesses. "The first trillion in demand-side stimulus didn't work, so forget the fiscal side," said one. "Regulatory reform will work, and we have a great story to tell of an administration run amok." Said another, "At this stage, we should accept that government intervention is not going to work. Thus, getting government out of the way is the best way to encourage job creation."
"Regulation," said a third Republican Insider, "is a hidden tax we can cut without increasing the national debt."
Republicans also heavily favored lowering the top corporate tax rate to 25 percent. "Lowering corporate taxes will do the most to produce jobs at the lowest impact on the deficit," said one.
"Route to job creation: less spending, less regulation, lower tax rates," declared another. "Anything else repeats the expensive spinning of wheels that we have had for the last two and a half years."
Democratic Insiders largely shunned action on regulations or corporate tax rates, instead lining up behind tax credits for firms hiring new workers and extending the payroll-tax holiday. "There is no demand right now," explained one. "Cutting the payroll tax for employers and employees stimulates demand (employees keep more of their money) and lowers the cost of hiring workers (by lowering the tax burden for employing somebody). It's the best tactic on this list."
Reaching agreement on a bipartisan approach to job creation remains a challenging task, and the poll illustrates this reality. The extension of the payroll-tax holiday came closest of any of the proposals to achieving joint agreement. Nonetheless, it still fell shy of majority Republican support.
One Democratic Insider suggested the best answer was really all of the above. "We're into 'throw it all against the wall and see what sticks' time."
The National Journal Political Insiders Poll is a regular survey of political operatives, strategists, campaign consultants and lobbyists in both parties. Below are the names of the Political Insiders who are surveyed:
Democrats: Jill Alper, John Anzalone, Brad Bannon, Dave Beattie, Andy Bechhoefer, Cornell Belcher, Matt Bennett, Mitchell W. Berger, Mike Berman, Stephanie Bosh, Paul Brathwaite, Donna Brazile, Mark Brewer, Ed Bruley, George Bruno, Deb Callahan, Bonnie Campbell, Bill Carrick, Guy Cecil, Martin J. Chavez, Tony Coelho, Larry Cohen, Jerry Crawford, Brendan Daly, Jeff Danielson, Peter Daou, Howard Dean, Scott DeFife, Jim Demers, Tad Devine, David Di Martino, Debbie Dingell, Monica Dixon, Patrick Dorton, Pat Dujakovich, Anita Dunn, Jeff Eller, Steve Elmendorf, Carter Eskew, Vic Fazio, Peter Fenn, Scott Ferson, Jim Fleischmann, Tina Flournoy, Don Foley, Jeffrey Forbes, Vincent Frillici, Gina Glantz, Niles Godes, John Michael Gonzalez, Joe Grandmaison, Anna Greenberg, Stan Greenberg, Pat Griffin, Larry Grisolano, Michael Gronstal, Lisa Grove, Marcia Hale, Jill Hanauer, Dick Harpootlian, Paul Harstad, Laura Hartigan, Doug Hattaway, Mike Henry, Karen Hicks, Leo Hindery Jr., Harold Ickes, Marcus Jadotte, John Jameson, Steve Jarding, Jonathon Jones, Jim Jordan, Gale Kaufman, Lisa Kountoupes, Celinda Lake, David Lang, Penny Lee, Chris Lehane, Jeff Link, Bob Maloney, Jim Manley, Steve Marchand, Jim Margolis, Paul Maslin, Keith Mason, Susan McCue, Gerald McEntee, Tom McMahon, Phil McNamara, David Medina, Michael Meehan, Mark Mellman, John Merrigan, Michael Monroe, Steve Murphy, Janet Napolitano, David Nassar, Marcia Nichols, John Norris, Tom Ochs, Tom O'Donnell, Jeffrey Peck, Debora Pignatelli, Tony Podesta, Jack Quinn, Larry Rasky, Mame Reiley, Ed Rendell, Steve Ricchetti, Will Robinson, Steve Rosenthal, David Rudd, Ryan Rudominer, John Ryan, Michael Sargeant, Stephanie Schriock, Terry Shumaker, Sean Sinclair, Phil Singer, Erik Smith, Doug Sosnik, Greg Speed, Darry Sragow, Ken Strasma, Doug Thornell, Jeffrey Trammell, Ed Turlington, Rick Wiener, James Williams, JoDee Winterhof, Brian Wolff, Jon Youngdahl, and Jim Zogby.
Republicans: Dan Allen, Stan Anderson, Gary Andres, Saulius (Saul) Anuzis, Rich Ashooh, Whit Ayres, Brett Bader, Mitch Bainwol, Brian Baker, Gary Bauer, David Beckwith, Paul Bennecke, Clark Benson, Wayne Berman, Brian Bieron, Charlie Black, Kirk Blalock, Carmine Boal, Jeff Boeyink, Ron Bonjean, Jeff Buley, Luke Byars, Nick Calio, Al Cardenas, Danny Carroll, Alex Castellanos, Ron Christie, Jim Cicconi, Jonathan Collegio, Rob Collins, Cesar Conda, Jake Corman, Scott Cottington, Jay Cranford, Greg Crist, Diane Crookham-Johnson, Fergus Cullen, Tom Davis, Mike Dennehy, Ken Duberstein, Debi Durham, Sara Fagen, Frank Fahrenkopf, John Feehery, Don Fierce, Mindy Finn, Mindy Fletcher, Carl Forti, Alex Gage, Bruce A. Gates, Sam Geduldig, Adam Geller, Benjamin Ginsberg, David Girard-diCarlo, Bill Greener, Jonathan Grella, Lanny Griffith, Janet Mullins Grissom, Doug Gross, Todd Harris, Steve Hart, Christopher Healy, Ralph Hellmann, Chris Henick, Terry Holt, David Iannelli, Ed Ingle, Jim Innocenzi, Clark Judge, David Keating, David Kensinger, Bob Kjellander, Ed Kutler, Chris LaCivita, Jim Lake, Steven Law, George S. LeMieux, Steve Lombardo, Kevin Madden, Joel Maiola, Gary Maloney, David Marin, Mary Matalin, Dan Mattoon, Brian McCormack, Mark McKinnon, Kyle McSlarrow, Ken Mehlman, Jim Merrill, Lisa Camooso Miller, Tim Morrison, Mike Murphy, Phil Musser, Ron Nehring, Terry Nelson, Neil Newhouse, David Norcross, Ziad Ojakli, Jack Oliver, Todd Olsen, Kevin O'Neill, Connie Partoyan, Dana Perino, Billy Piper, Van B. Poole, Tom Rath, Scott Reed, David Rehr, Tom Reynolds, Steve Roberts, Jason Roe, David Roederer, Dan Schnur, Russ Schriefer, Rich Schwarm, Brent Seaborn, Rick Shelby, Andrew Shore, Kevin Shuvalov, Don Sipple, Ken Spain, Fred Steeper, Bob Stevenson, Terry Sullivan, David Tamasi, Eric Tanenblatt, Richard Temple, Heath Thompson, Jay Timmons, Warren Tompkins, Ted Van Der Meid, Dirk van Dongen, Jan van Lohuizen, Stewart Verdery, Dick Wadhams, John Weaver, Lezlee Westine, Dave Winston, Ginny Wolfe, Fred Wszolek, and Matthew Zablud.