But whoever does win could end up having a very short tenure. Albany lawmakers need to eliminate one New York City-area seat in redistricting, and thanks to Weiner's scandal and subsequent resignation, his Brooklyn and Queens-area seat has become the most likely target to draw out. Democrats are favored to hold onto the seat, although New York has had a history of surprising political twists when it comes to special elections lately. The district has a Democratic lean and Weiner had won reelection comfortably, but it has trended more Republican lately. In 2000, Vice President Al Gore took 67 percent here, but in 2004, Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., won just 56 percent--an 11-point plunge. Obama got 55 percent of the vote in 2008.
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