Revised N.C. Map Even Worse For Democrats
While the first draft of North Carolina's redistricting maps were bad news for at least four House Democrats, a revised plan is even more dismal for them, as a proposal from state Republicans now lumps four incumbents into two districts.
The changes were spurred to rework the majority-black 1st District represented by Democratic Rep. G.K. Butterfield, but the map has further reaching implications for the already-endangered Democratic quartet of Reps. Larry Kissell, Mike McIntyre, Heath Shuler, and Brad Miller. In particular, it drives up GOP performance in the districts of the three Democrats with proven conservative appeal: Kissell, McIntyre, and Shuler.
Under the new map, Kissell and McIntyre are drawn into the 8th District, which Kissell currently represents. The proposed 8th District has a 12 point GOP advantage and would have voted 57 percent for John McCain in 2008. McIntyre had been spared the most in the last round, but neither running against Kissell nor heading to a vastly different 7th District gives him good options.
The new 7th District has an 11 point GOP swing and also voted 57 percent for McCain. Instead of giving it more coastal Republicans, the second draft map extends the 7th District north into suburban Johnston County outside Raleigh, in a move some Democrats say is designed to entice Johnston-based GOP state Sen. David Rouzer into a run. McIntyre lives just inside the new 8th, but could feasibly move back into his old territory.
The other major problem the map presents occurs from shifting the current 6th and 13th Districts, which moves current 13th District Democratic Rep. Brad Miller, into the same 4th District seat as Democratic Rep. David Price in the Research Triangle area. The now-open 13th District, once running across most of the Virginia border, now shifts more centrally within the state, while GOP Rep. Howard Coble's 6th District takes over much of that current territory and what was proposed to give the 13th District during the first visualization.