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Politics

Iowa Poll Coming Saturday

June 23, 2011

The first public measure of where the candidates stand will come Saturday, when the Des Moines Register releases its first Iowa Poll of the year.

The Register contracts with Selzer & Co., a highly-regarded Des Moines-based polling firm that has delivered surprisingly accurate predictions of where the Caucus stands in recent years.

In 2007, just days before the January 3 caucuses, the Register pegged then-Sen. Barack Obama as the leader by seven points, based on projections of record-breaking turnout. When Caucus night rolled around, Obama won by eight points, amid record-breaking turnout (Pollster Ann Selzer also nailed the GOP race, predicting former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee would win by six; he won by nine).

That just makes us wonder: Did former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty's team know the poll was in the field? Launching a television ad to influence the poll would be a smart move.

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