The National Republican Congressional Committee went up with an ad today accusing a vulnerable Democrat, Rep. Jerry McNerney (D-Calif.), of "bankrupting Medicare" because he backed the president's health care law. Expect a similar line of attack against Hochul in the days ahead. As Corwin and Davis have received the most fire in recent days, Hochul has escaped relatively scot-free. One Republican operative tracking the race said that while Davis' numbers have declined over the last several days, Corwin hasn't expanded her lead over Hochul significantly. It's a reminder that, in the end, this could well be a Republican versus Democrat race, if Davis' numbers continue to sink. And that the respective messages on Medicare and entitlements are poised to resonate even further in the days to come, with nearly a million dollars of outside advertising being spent in the district.