Even Obama's re-election numbers haven't changed much. In a poll of adults taken August 27-30 2010, 39 percent said they would definitely or probably vote for Obama while 52 percent said they would probably or definitely vote for someone else - figures almost identical to the latest poll numbers. In polls taken in April and January of 2010, the numbers are also very similar. The latest survey of 1,000 adults was conducted March 4-8 by FD, with a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percent. A sub-sample of 872 registered voters was surveyed with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percent. Check out National Journal's Ron Brownstein's take on the poll here.