Skip Navigation

Close and don't show again.

Your browser is out of date.

You may not get the full experience here on National Journal.

Please upgrade your browser to any of the following supported browsers:

This ad will end in seconds
Close X

Not a member? Learn More »

Forget Your Password?

Don't have an account? Register »

Reveal Navigation

 

Blogs

Obama's Blue-Collar Challenge

May 23, 2012

In aggressively advancing a populist message, the Obama campaign is betting it can hold onto enough working-class white voters while maintaining its relatively upscale coalition from 2008.  The Bain Capital backfire this week showed the dangers of relying too heavily on that strategy, and new poll data - along with last night's results in Kentucky and Arkansas - show the challenges President Obama faces in winning over blue-collar voters.

Obama lost over 40 percent of the vote to a perennial long-shot candidate John Wolfe in Arkansas' primary last night, and 42 percent voted for "uncommitted" in Kentucky's primary.  No, Obama wasn't going to be contesting the two states in the presidential election - the states have been trending away from the party.  But it offers a stark reminder just how much distance there is between Obama and the non-college whites that, until fairly recently, were an important part of the Democratic coalition.  Bill Clinton carried both these states in 1992, and won his home state of Arkansas in 1996.  There's a reason the Obama campaign isn't contesting neighboring Missouri, a perennial battleground.

The latest Quinnipiac poll of Florida voters, released this morning, offers further evidence of the challenges Obama faces with that demographic - and how far he's fallen since 2008.  Mitt Romney leads Obama, 47 to 41 percent. Romney, hardly a working-class hero, leads Obama 57 to 30 percent among non-college whites.  Put in context, Obama won 41 percent of non-college white voters in 2008, an 11 point drop in four years.

More Blogs
Job Board
Search Jobs
Professional Development Program Engineer
American Society of Civil Engineers | Farmington Hills, MI
Biomedical Service Internship Position
American Society of Civil Engineers | Flint, MI
Deputy Director of Transit Operations
American Society of Civil Engineers | San Jose, CA
Structural Engineer
American Society of Civil Engineers | New Haven, CT
Transportation Planner
American Society of Civil Engineers | Salinas, CA
Assessment and Remediation Team Lead
American Society of Civil Engineers | Regina, SK
Quality Systems Manager
American Society of Civil Engineers | Greensboro, NC
Quality Engineer
American Society of Civil Engineers | Attica, IN
Senior Water Resource Project Manager
American Society of Civil Engineers | Fairfax, VA
Civil Engineering
American Society of Civil Engineers | Steamboat Springs, CO
Entry Level Geotechnical Engineer
American Society of Civil Engineers | Albany, NY
Sales Engineer-Process Automation/Instrumentation
American Society of Civil Engineers
Senior Project Manager- Transportation
American Society of Civil Engineers | San Antonio, TX
Materials Engineer 2
American Society of Civil Engineers | IL
Land Surveyor
American Society of Civil Engineers
Comments
comments powered by Disqus