Skip Navigation

Close and don't show again.

Your browser is out of date.

You may not get the full experience here on National Journal.

Please upgrade your browser to any of the following supported browsers:

Elizabeth Warren's Obama Gap Elizabeth Warren's Obama Gap

NEXT :
This ad will end in seconds
Close X

Not a member or subscriber? Learn More »

Forget Your Password?

Don't have an account? Register »

Reveal Navigation

 

Elizabeth Warren's Obama Gap

Earlier this month, Elizabeth Warren, the Democratic Senate candidate in Massachusetts, ran an ad featuring an extended testimonial from President Obama. She may need more of them.

Warren faces what might be called an Obama gap: in her marquee Senate race against Scott Brown she is winning an unusually small share of the president's supporters. In fact, the latest poll shows Warren winning fewer Obama supporters than any Democratic Senate candidate did in 2010 in a state where the president was popular. Warren is also facing considerably more defection than the Democratic Senate candidates in three other battleground states polled this week.

One senior Republican strategist with access to the party's polling says that in fact Brown is winning a larger share of the voters backing the other party's presidential nominee than any other Senate candidate from either side in a competitive race this year.
As I noted in a recent piece, the share of voters splitting their tickets between a presidential candidate of one party and a Senate candidate of the other has steadily declined since the 1980s. Even in off-year elections, it is now routine for 80 percent or more of the voters who approve of a president's performance to support his party's candidate in competitive Senate races and at least 80 percent of those who disapprove to vote for the other party's candidate.

Don't Miss Today's Top Stories

Excellent!"

Rick, Executive Director for Policy

Concise coverage of everything I wish I had hours to read about."

Chuck, Graduate Student

The day's action in one quick read."

Stacy, Director of Communications

I find them informative and appreciate the daily news updates and enjoy the humor as well."

Richard, VP of Government Affairs

Chock full of usable information on today's issues. "

Michael, Executive Director

Sign up form for the newsletter
MORE NATIONAL JOURNAL
 
 
What should you expect from on Election Night?
See more ▲
 
Hide