Campaign analysis by the most interesting thinkers in Washington

Perry On Shaky Ground Attacking Santorum Electability

Republican presidential candidate, Texas Gov. Rick Perry shakes a hand during a campaign stop at the Main Street Cafe in Council Bluffs, Iowa, Tuesday, Dec. 27, 2011.  (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)

Former Texas Gov. Rick Perry lately has been ripping on Rick Santorum's electability credentials, attacking him for losing by 18 points in his 2006 re-election bid.  He did it again on MSNBC's "Daily Rundown" this morning, telling Chuck Todd: "This guy has proven that he can't win races."

But a closer look at the numbers should temper much of Perry's argument.  Santorum actually won a larger percentage of the vote than Perry did in 2006 - and in a Democratic-leaning state, no less. 

That same year, Perry, running in a four-candidate field, only tallied 39 percent of the vote, losing many Republican supporters to the independent candidacy of Carole Keeton Strayhorn.  He nonetheless won re-election, defeating Democratic congressman Chris Bell by nine points, but that masked his high unfavorables that year.  An incumbent governor winning 39 percent of the vote in a ruby-red state isn't exactly something to write home about.

Santorum, for his part, has to deal with his landslide loss - something he's lately been acknowledging more.  He lost by a far larger margin than most losing senators unaffected by scandal, even though it was in a lousy year for Republicans. 

But he also can fairly tout that he's ran ahead of the national party in many past elections, running six points ahead of George W. Bush in 2000 and winning re-election to his House seat with 61 percent of the vote in 1992, in a district that Bill Clinton carried with 52 percent that same year. 

Perry, for his part, can't say the same.


Leave A Comment
The National Journal Group has the right (but not the obligation) to monitor the comments and to remove any materials it deems inappropriate.
Comments powered by Disqus
Follow National Journal
Decoded Contributors
Tim Alberta

Tim Alberta

Editor, Hotline Last Call!

Decoded Posts | All Stories


Caren Bohan

Caren Bohan

Managing Editor for Domestic Policy

Decoded Posts | All Stories


Ronald Brownstein

Ronald Brownstein

Editorial Director

Decoded Posts | All Stories


George E. Condon Jr.

George E. Condon Jr.

Staff Writer, White House

Decoded Posts | All Stories


Matthew Cooper

Matthew Cooper

Editor, National Journal Daily

Decoded Posts | All Stories


John Aloysius Farrell

John Aloysius Farrell

Congressional Correspondent

Decoded Posts | All Stories


Ron Fournier

Ron Fournier

Editor-in-Chief

Decoded Posts | All Stories


Chris Frates

Chris Frates

Lobbying Correspondent

Decoded Posts | All Stories


Major Garrett

Major Garrett

Congress Correspondent

Decoded Posts | All Stories


Shane Goldmacher

Shane Goldmacher

Congressional Correspondent

Decoded Posts | All Stories


Michael Hirsh

Michael Hirsh

Chief Correspondent

Decoded Posts | All Stories


Jackie Koszczuk

Jackie Koszczuk

Editor, The Almanac of American Politics

Decoded Posts | All Stories


Josh Kraushaar

Josh Kraushaar

Executive Editor, The Hotline

Decoded Posts | All Stories


Jill Lawrence

Jill Lawrence

Managing Editor, Politics

Decoded Posts | All Stories


James Oliphant

James Oliphant

Deputy Magazine Editor

Decoded Posts | All Stories


Beth Reinhard

Beth Reinhard

Political Correspondent

Decoded Posts | All Storie


Alex Roarty

Alex Roarty

Staff Writer, Politics

Decoded posts | All Stories


Lori Santos

Lori Santos

Managing Editor, Breaking News

Decoded posts | All Stories


Jim Tankersley

Jim Tankersley

Economics Correspondent

Decoded Posts | All Stories


Reid Wilson

Reid Wilson

Editor-In-Chief, The Hotline

Decoded Posts | All Stories