The Crosstabs Love Mitt Romney
With just five days to go before Iowans head to their local caucus site, expect headlines to be dominated by a rash of last-minute polls conducted by major news organizations. CNN and Time Magazine released their final polls yesterday; NBC and the Wall Street Journal are releasing theirs tomorrow; and the Des Moines Register will release their last survey on New Years Eve.
Make sure to look beyond the topline results to find out what's really going on in Iowa. The results from the CNN/Time poll suggest Mitt Romney is in much better shape this year than he was four years ago, thanks to three major factors:
-- The evangelical vote: The Iowa caucuses are usually driven by evangelical and born-again voters. They made up 60 percent of the Republican electorate in 2008, according to caucus entrance polls. But evangelical leaders have failed to unite behind a single candidate, as they did with Mike Huckabee in 2008, and that's preventing anyone from consolidating the key bloc.
Make sure to look beyond the topline results to find out what's really going on in Iowa. The results from the CNN/Time poll suggest Mitt Romney is in much better shape this year than he was four years ago, thanks to three major factors:
-- The evangelical vote: The Iowa caucuses are usually driven by evangelical and born-again voters. They made up 60 percent of the Republican electorate in 2008, according to caucus entrance polls. But evangelical leaders have failed to unite behind a single candidate, as they did with Mike Huckabee in 2008, and that's preventing anyone from consolidating the key bloc.
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