The Mysteries of the Swing State 12

By Brian McGill and Naureen Khan November 2, 2012

Top Headlines

ELECTION ANALYSIS November 9, 2012

Hispanic Exit Polls Suggest Seismic Shift in Florida

By Beth Reinhard

Exit polls showing the powerful Cuban-American community in Florida favored President Obama – which would make him the first Democratic nominee in decades to penetrate that Republican Party stronghold -- suggest a seismic political shift in the nation’s largest swing state. Read more »

CAMPAIGN 2012 November 5, 2012

Whoever Wins, North Carolina and Virginia Battlegrounds Here to Stay

By Naureen Khan

It was like a little sweet tea at the end of the meal for Democrats when, four years ago, the Obama campaign defied decades of electoral tradition to bring North Carolina and Virginia into their fold. Read more »

CAMPAIGN 2012 November 4, 2012

Final Polls: Race Tied Nationally, But Obama Has Swing-State Edge

By Steven Shepard

President Obama and Mitt Romney are neck-and-neck in national polls released on the final weekend before Election Day, but Obama's Midwestern "firewall" of Iowa, Ohio and Wisconsin is holding and he maintains a distinct advantage in the contest for the 270 electoral votes needed to win the White House. Read more »

CAMPAIGN 2012 November 3, 2012

Poll: Obama Holds Slim Lead in Iowa

By National Journal Staff

President Obama heads toward Election Day with a slight lead over Mitt Romney in the pivotal swing state of Iowa, according to the Iowa Poll sponsored by the Des Moines Register. Read more »

November 3, 2012

Mormon Solidarity Bolsters Romney in Nevada

By Alex Roarty

LAS VEGAS—For most Republicans, this presidential election is less about putting Mitt Romney in the White House than kicking President Obama out of it. Their support for the GOP presidential nominee is often driven by contempt for Obama, a feeling so potent that Romney’s own moderate past as governor of blue-state Massachusetts hardly matters. Read more »

CAMPAIGN 2012 November 3, 2012

Obama, Romney Court Young Voters in High-Stakes 'Dating Game'

By Naureen Khan

Things in abundance on the campus of James Madison University: hooded sweatshirts, Greek letters, stress about midterms. Noticeably absent: a whole lot of buzz or anticipation about the presidential election. Read more »

CAMPAIGN 2012 November 3, 2012

Polls: Obama Leads by 6 Points in Ohio, 2 in Florida

By Ben Schreckinger

President Obama is leading Mitt Romney in the two biggest swing states following his well-received handling of Hurricane Sandy, according to polls from Florida and Ohio conducted by NBC News/ The Wall Street Journal /Marist. Read more »

CAMPAIGN 2012 November 2, 2012

New Ohio Poll Shows Obama Holding Steady, Narrow Lead

By Jonathan Miller

A new survey of likely voters in Ohio shows President Obama continuing to hold a slim but seemingly durable lead over Mitt Romney. Read more »

CAMPAIGN 2012 November 2, 2012

Obama and Romney Teams Top $1 Billion in Ad Spending

By Reid Wilson

Between Sept. 11 and Sept. 17, after the two political conventions and as undecided voters began to tune in to the presidential campaign in earnest, President Obama, Mitt Romney, and the outside groups that support them spent $20 million on television advertisements across 10 battleground states. Read more »

CAMPAIGN 2012 November 1, 2012

In Iowa and New Hampshire, an 18-Month Presidential Campaign

By Alex Roarty

New Hampshire and Iowa voters are used to White House hopefuls and money deluging their states in high summer, six months before their leadoff primary-season contests and 18 months before the actual election. This time, the courtship never stopped. Read more »

CAMPAIGN 2012 October 30, 2012

Misleading New Romney Ad Casts Obama, Chrysler, GM as Bad for Auto Jobs

By Ben Schreckinger

The Romney campaign is running a new radio ad in Ohio that repeats claims about Jeep manufacturing in China that fact-checkers, Chrysler and GM say are wrong. Read more »

CAMPAIGN 2012 October 30, 2012

Moving Election Day Could Be More Disruptive Than Sandy

By Billy House

Sandy has already wreaked all sorts of havoc on the Eastern Seaboard. But its destructive impact also now carries the potential to disrupt voting up to and on Election Day in several states, raising questions about whether voting procedures and maybe even dates should be altered. Read more »

CAMPAIGN 2012 October 29, 2012

Obama Rebuts Romney's Jeep, Auto Claims in Ohio

By Jill Lawrence

The Obama campaign released a TV ad Monday aimed at halting a Mitt Romney offensive on the automobile industry in must-win Ohio. The new Obama ad challenges Romney’s claim in his own ad that he would “do more for the auto industry” than Obama, as well as the ad’s incorrect implication that Chrysler is moving Jeep production from Ohio to China. Read more »

CAMPAIGN 2012 October 29, 2012

Hurricane Sandy Upends the Presidential Campaign

By Naureen Khan

They don’t call it an October surprise for nothing. Read more »

CAMPAIGN 2012 October 29, 2012

Poll: Race Tied in North Carolina

By Matt Vasilogambros

With just eight days left in the campaign, President Obama and Mitt Romney are tied in North Carolina, according to a new Elon University poll released on Monday. Read more »

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