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Polls in Mich., Pa., Show Obama Still Ahead, But Romney Narrowing the Gap Polls in Mich., Pa., Show Obama Still Ahead, But Romney Narrowing the ...

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The Trail: 2012 Presidential News from the Field / Campaign 2012

Polls in Mich., Pa., Show Obama Still Ahead, But Romney Narrowing the Gap

October 11, 2012

In two new polls, President Obama maintains significant leads in two states considered firmly in his grasp – part of the so-called “Blue Wall” he needs to win re-election – but in the case of Michigan, that lead has narrowed dramatically following his lackluster debate performance.

In Michigan, a Detroit News/WDIV Local 4 poll shows Obama with a 49 percent to 42.3 percent lead, according to The Detroit News. In the same poll from last month, Obama had enjoyed a 14.2-point lead, but the recent results are more in line with results from May to August, in which Obama averaged a 5.5-point lead.

"All the gains through September were wiped away in one night of the debate," Richard Czuba of Glengariff Group Inc., which conducted the poll Saturday through Monday, told The News.

 

A 20-point lead Obama had among women shrunk to 9 points after the debate, according to the poll.

In Pennsylvania, Obama maintains a 50 percent to 42 percent lead over Romney in an Inquirer Susquehanna Bank Poll. Last month, Obama enjoyed a 50 percent to 39 percent lead over Romney.

The Michigan survey of 600 likely voters was conducted Oct. 6 through Oct. 8. The margin of error was plus or minus four percentage points. The Pennsylvania poll was conducted from Oct. 4 through Oct. 8 among 600 likely voters across Pennsylvania. The margin of error was plus or minus four percentage points.

In Illinois, Obama holds a 55 percent to 36 percent lead, according to a new Tribune/WGN-TV poll.

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