CAMPAIGN 2012

Poll: Romney Closes Deficit in Native Michigan

Updated: October 8, 2012 | 7:28 p.m.
October 8, 2012 | 7:21 p.m.

Mitt Romney is riding a national surge in the wake of his strong debate performance last week, and a new poll out late Monday shows that bump extending to the state in which he was born, Democratic-leaning Michigan. Romney and President Obama are now running neck-and-neck in the Wolverine State, with Obama leading by an insignificant, 3-point margin, 48 percent to 45 percent.

The poll was conducted by EPIC-MRA of Lansing, Mich., for the Detroit Free Press and four in-state television stations. Last month, Obama had a wider, 10-point edge in the EPIC-MRA poll, 47 percent to 37 percent; that represents a significant bump for Romney. The percentage of undecided voters decreased from 16 percentage points last month, to just 7 points in the new survey, which was conducted on the three evenings following last Wednesday's debate.

"Romney has come back like gangbusters, EPIC-MRA pollster Bernie Porn told the Free Press in a story posted on their website Monday evening.

Obama carried Michigan by a wide margin in 2008, 57 percent to 41 percent, with Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz., famously pulling resources from the state during the post-convention sprint. But the state voted only narrowly for Sen. John Kerry, D-Mass., in 2004, and Romney hopes to be buoyed by his roots in the state; his father, George, was twice elected the state's governor.

The poll was conducted Oct. 4-6, surveying 600 likely voters. The margin of error is plus-or-minus 4 percentage points.

Michigan will award 16 electoral votes to its winner.

Get the latest news and analysis delivered to your inbox. Sign up for National Journal's morning alert, Wake-Up Call, and afternoon newsletter, The Edge. Subscribe here.


Leave A Comment
The National Journal Group has the right (but not the obligation) to monitor the comments and to remove any materials it deems inappropriate.
Comments powered by Disqus
Follow National Journal
Related Content
Columns
Charlie Cook: The Cook Report

Republicans Should Go Easy on Obama, At Least in Public

May 16, 2013
As a tactical matter, a subterranean campaign will score more direct hits on the president.
Ronald Brownstein: Political Connections

How the White House Scandals Could Hurt Republicans, Too

May 16, 2013
By enraging the base and strengthening the faction least willing to compromise with Obama, the IRS and Benghazi affairs could hurt a GOP shot at the presidency.
Norm Ornstein: Washington Inside Out

Eric Cantor’s Caucus Thwarts His Push for an Alternative Agenda

May 16, 2013
Cantor has learned that the tea-party movement he helped foster won’t fall in line behind his efforts to push an alternative conservative agenda.
More Columns »